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Operario Esporte Clube vs Itacoatiara

Brazil Brazil

Amazonense 2 2025
Mon, Jul 7, 2025
1 - 2
11:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Arboleda J.
67' Event
Tico
1' Event
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Itacoatiara in this Amazonense 2 2025 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Operario Esporte Clube
20%
Draws
15%
Itacoatiara
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Operario Esporte Clube

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Itacoatiara haven't matched Operario Esporte Clube's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Operario Esporte Clube's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Operario Esporte Clube have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Itacoatiara, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Operario Esporte Clube Clean Sheet 20%
Itacoatiara Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Operario Esporte Clube Itacoatiara
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 13 6
Draws 5 6
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 1.79 0.84
Goals Conceded 1.62 2.77
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 7, 2025 Amazonense 2
Operario Esporte Clube vs Itacoatiara
1:2
May 24, 2025 Amazonense 2
Itacoatiara vs Operario Esporte Clube
0:0
Feb 17, 2022 Amazonense
Itacoatiara vs Operario Esporte Clube
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Operario Esporte Clube Compare

Top Goalscorer Tico
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Itacoatiara Compare

Top Goalscorer Arboleda J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Operario Esporte Clube 85 / 100
Itacoatiara 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Operario Esporte Clube Itacoatiara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Operario Esporte Clube Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itacoatiara has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Operario Esporte Clube found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (34 games).

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Solid form: Operario Esporte Clube remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Operario Esporte Clube VS Itacoatiara
3.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Operario Esporte Clube

(Home)
04 Sept
Fast Clube
2 : 1
Operario Esporte Clube
30 Aug
Fast Clube
2 : 0
Operario Esporte Clube
27 Aug
Cliper
0 : 11
Operario Esporte Clube
20 Aug
Unidos do Alvorada
2 : 4
Operario Esporte Clube
15 Aug
Operario Esporte Clube
4 : 0
Manicore
Page 1 of 7

Itacoatiara

(Away)
26 Feb
Manauara
3 : 2
Itacoatiara
21 Feb
Itacoatiara
0 : 1
Parintins
13 Feb
Amazonas
0 : 0
Itacoatiara
04 Feb
Amazonas
2 : 0
Itacoatiara
31 Jan
Itacoatiara
1 : 1
Manauara
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Operario Esporte Clube 5
Taruma 0
Penarol 1
Itacoatiara 2
Final
Operario Esporte Clube 1
Itacoatiara 2