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Operario Esporte Clube vs Sul America

Brazil Brazil

Amazonense 2 2025
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Match Events

19' Event
Weslem Franca
34'
Paiva
34'
Paiva

AI Match Summary

The Amazonense 2 2025 game between Operario Esporte Clube and Sul America finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Operario Esporte Clube.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Operario Esporte Clube
15%
Draws
26%
Sul America
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Operario Esporte Clube

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Operario Esporte Clube have managed 1.71 goals a game lately — Sul America are scoring more at 2.5.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Operario Esporte Clube taking it.
  • Regular Amazonense 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Operario Esporte Clube here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Operario Esporte Clube Clean Sheet 10%
Sul America Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Operario Esporte Clube Sul America
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 5 2
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 1.71 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.71 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2025 Amazonense 2
Operario Esporte Clube vs Sul America
3:2
Oct 2, 2021 Amazonense 2
Sul America vs Operario Esporte Clube
1:2
May 8, 2011 Amazonense
Sul America vs Operario Esporte Clube
4:4
Feb 12, 2011 Amazonense
Operario Esporte Clube vs Sul America
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Operario Esporte Clube Compare

Top Goalscorer Weslem Franca
2 Goals
Assists Leader Felipe Barao
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sul America Compare

Top Goalscorer Kayck
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oliveira R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Operario Esporte Clube 74 / 100
Sul America 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Operario Esporte Clube Sul America

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Operario Esporte Clube Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sul America has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 5.25 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Operario Esporte Clube scored in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: Operario Esporte Clube remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Operario Esporte Clube VS Sul America
2.5 Goals Scored 3.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Operario Esporte Clube

(Home)
04 Sept
Fast Clube
2 : 1
Operario Esporte Clube
30 Aug
Fast Clube
2 : 0
Operario Esporte Clube
27 Aug
Cliper
0 : 11
Operario Esporte Clube
20 Aug
Unidos do Alvorada
2 : 4
Operario Esporte Clube
15 Aug
Operario Esporte Clube
4 : 0
Manicore
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Sul America

(Away)
21 Jun
Operario Esporte Clube
3 : 2
Sul America
13 Jun
Sul America
3 : 2
Cliper
08 Jun
Fast Clube
0 : 0
Sul America
02 Jun
Sul America
0 : 2
Itacoatiara
14 Sept
Sete FC
3 : 2
Sul America
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Penarol 4 3 1 0 6:1 10
2 Taruma 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
3 Unidos do Alvorada 4 2 0 2 3:3 6
4 Manicore 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
5 RB do Norte 4 0 0 4 1:8 0
Promotion - Amazonense 2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Operario Esporte Clube 4 3 1 0 10:5 10
2 Itacoatiara 4 2 2 0 6:1 8
3 Sul America 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
4 Fast Clube 4 1 1 2 5:8 4
5 Cliper 4 0 1 3 4:9 1
Promotion - Amazonense 2 2025 (Play Offs)