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Operario MS vs Bataguassu

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Operario MS
15%
Draws
34%
Bataguassu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Operario MS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Operario MS come out ahead of Bataguassu on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Operario MS have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Operario MS, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Operario MS have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Operario MS Clean Sheet 16%
Bataguassu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Operario MS Bataguassu
Matches Played 34 25
Wins 17 12
Draws 10 6
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.41 2.16
Goals Conceded 1 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense
Operario MS vs Bataguassu
2:1
Mar 21, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense
Bataguassu vs Operario MS
1:3
Feb 28, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense
Operario MS vs Bataguassu
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Operario MS 31 / 100
Bataguassu 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Operario MS Bataguassu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Operario MS found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (34 games).

Defensive concern: Bataguassu conceded in 76% of 25 recent games.

Away concern: Bataguassu has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Operario MS VS Bataguassu
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Operario MS

(Home)
14 Jun
Betim FC
2 : 1
Operario MS
31 May
Operario MS
2 : 0
CRAC
23 May
ABECAT Ouvidorense
2 : 0
Operario MS
16 May
Operario MS
2 : 0
Ivinhema
09 May
Operario MS
1 : 2
Uberlandia
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Bataguassu

(Away)
02 Apr
Operario MS
2 : 1
Bataguassu
21 Mar
Bataguassu
1 : 3
Operario MS
18 Mar
Naviraiense
0 : 4
Bataguassu
15 Mar
Bataguassu
0 : 1
Naviraiense
11 Mar
Ivinhema
4 : 4
Bataguassu
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Operario MS -
TBD -
Corumbaense 3
Dourados 1
Naviraiense -
TBD -
Ivinhema 5
Bataguassu 6
Semi-finals
Operario MS 4
Corumbaense 2
Naviraiense 1
Bataguassu 4
Final
Operario MS 5
Bataguassu 2