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Operario MS vs Bataguassu

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Operario MS advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Operario MS
40%
Draws
29%
Bataguassu
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Operario MS come out ahead of Bataguassu on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Operario MS have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Operario MS, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Operario MS have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Operario MS Clean Sheet 16%
Bataguassu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Operario MS Bataguassu
Matches Played 41 25
Wins 21 12
Draws 11 6
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense
Operario MS vs Bataguassu
2:1
Mar 21, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense
Bataguassu vs Operario MS
1:3
Feb 28, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense
Operario MS vs Bataguassu
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Operario MS 31 / 100
Bataguassu 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Operario MS Bataguassu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Operario MS found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (41 games).

Defensive concern: Bataguassu conceded in 76% of 25 recent games.

Away concern: Bataguassu has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Operario MS VS Bataguassu
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Operario MS

(Home)
14 Jun
Betim FC
2 : 1
Operario MS
31 May
Operario MS
2 : 0
CRAC
23 May
ABECAT Ouvidorense
2 : 0
Operario MS
16 May
Operario MS
2 : 0
Ivinhema
09 May
Operario MS
1 : 2
Uberlandia
Page 1 of 9

Bataguassu

(Away)
02 Apr
Operario MS
2 : 1
Bataguassu
21 Mar
Bataguassu
1 : 3
Operario MS
18 Mar
Naviraiense
0 : 4
Bataguassu
15 Mar
Bataguassu
0 : 1
Naviraiense
11 Mar
Ivinhema
4 : 4
Bataguassu
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Operario MS-
TBD-
Corumbaense3
Dourados1
Naviraiense-
TBD-
Ivinhema5
Bataguassu6
Semi-finals
Operario MS4
Corumbaense2
Naviraiense1
Bataguassu4
Final
Operario MS5
Bataguassu2