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Operario MS vs Nautico MS

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
dos Santos L. F.
78' Event
Luz da Silva Neto J.

AI Match Summary

Operario MS in this Sul-Matogrossense 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Operario MS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Operario MS
15%
Draws
0%
Nautico MS
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Operario MS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Nautico MS haven't matched Operario MS's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Operario MS taking it.
  • Regular Sul-Matogrossense 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Operario MS Clean Sheet 18%
Nautico MS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Operario MS Nautico MS
Matches Played 52 8
Wins 27 0
Draws 15 0
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.58 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.04 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense
Operario MS vs Nautico MS
2:0
Jan 28, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense
Nautico MS vs Operario MS
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Operario MS Compare

Top Goalscorer dos Santos L. F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Luz da Silva Neto J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Nautico MS Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Operario MS 85 / 100
Nautico MS 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Operario MS Nautico MS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Operario MS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Operario MS found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (52 games).

Nautico MS's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 8 matches.

Nautico MS lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Operario MS VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Operario MS

(Home)
14 Jun
Betim FC
2 : 1
Operario MS
31 May
Operario MS
2 : 0
CRAC
23 May
ABECAT Ouvidorense
2 : 0
Operario MS
16 May
Operario MS
2 : 0
Ivinhema
09 May
Operario MS
1 : 2
Uberlandia
Page 1 of 11

Nautico MS

(Away)
03 Mar
Nautico MS
1 : 3
Coxim
29 Feb
Nautico MS
3 : 4
Pantanal
17 Feb
Costa Rica
2 : 0
Nautico MS
14 Feb
Operario MS
2 : 0
Nautico MS
04 Feb
Coxim
3 : 1
Nautico MS
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Operario MS 8 6 2 0 14:3 20
2 Coxim 8 3 3 2 12:10 12
3 Pantanal 8 3 3 2 10:9 12
4 Costa Rica 8 3 2 3 8:7 11
5 Nautico MS 8 0 0 8 6:21 0
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dourados 8 5 2 1 10:4 17
2 Aquidauanense 8 4 3 1 13:8 15
3 Corumbaense 8 2 3 3 12:13 9
4 Ivinhema 8 2 1 5 12:16 7
5 Novoperario 8 1 3 4 7:13 6
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2024 (Play Offs)