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Operario MS W vs Várzea Grande EC W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro A3 Women 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Brenda
19' Event
Silva S.
35' Event
Abreu V.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Operario MS W in this Brasileiro A3 Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 5-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Operario MS W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Operario MS W
11%
Draws
80%
Várzea Grande EC W
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Várzea Grande EC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Várzea Grande EC W lately — more wins on the board than Operario MS W.
  • Model gives Várzea Grande EC W a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 22.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Operario MS W Clean Sheet 12%
Várzea Grande EC W Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Operario MS W Várzea Grande EC W
Matches Played 19 30
Wins 12 13
Draws 1 7
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1 1.5
Goals Conceded 2 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 Brasileiro A3 Women
Operario MS W vs Várzea Grande EC W
5:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Operario MS W Compare

Top Goalscorer Brenda
1 Goals
Assists Leader de Sousa Nogueira A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Várzea Grande EC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Silva S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Operario MS W 11 / 100
Várzea Grande EC W 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Operario MS W Várzea Grande EC W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VÁR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 9.00 goals per match.

Operario MS W found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (19 games).

Defensive concern: Várzea Grande EC W conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Operario MS W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Operario MS W VS Várzea Grande EC W
1 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
80% Over 1.5 63%
60% Over 2.5 50%
20% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Galvez W33009:49
2Rolim de Moura W311112:34
3Taruma W31118:34
4Recanto W30032:210
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vila Nova FC W33007:29
2Operario MS W32016:66
3Cresspom W30120:21
4Várzea Grande EC W30126:91
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Perolas Negras W32104:17
2Itabirito W31203:25
3Realidade Jovem W30211:32
4Pinda Ferroviaria W30120:21
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Coritiba W33007:29
2Brasil de Farroupilha W32015:26
3Criciuma W31028:63
4Toledo W30032:120
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ypiranga AP W32105:37
2Tuna Luso W31113:34
3Sao Raimundo RR W31024:33
4Manaus W31023:63
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico-PI W330013:29
2Ceara W32018:36
3Uniao RN W31027:33
4IAPE W30031:210
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1UD Alagoana W33008:19
2Ipojuca W32014:56
3Mixto PB W31025:43
4Guarani de Paripueira W30031:80
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Doce Mel W32106:17
2Juventude W31115:54
3Prosperidade W31113:44
4Alagoinhas W30125:91