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Operario-PR vs America MG

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estádio Germano Krüger
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Sub
Aylon In: de Moraes Rodrigues O.
Out: Aylon
38'
Pereira H.
46'
Sub
Felipe Amaral In: Jimenez J.
Out: Felipe Amaral

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Operario-PR and America MG finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Operario-PR.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Operario-PR
6%
Draws
4%
America MG
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Operario-PR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • America MG haven't matched Operario-PR's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Operario-PR's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Operario-PR Clean Sheet 68%
America MG Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Operario-PR America MG
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 5
Draws 8 7
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 1.63 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Serie B
Operario-PR vs America MG
1:0
Sep 7, 2025 Serie B
America MG vs Operario-PR
1:1
May 4, 2025 Serie B
Operario-PR vs America MG
1:0
Oct 24, 2024 Serie B
Operario-PR vs America MG
1:0
Jul 6, 2024 Serie B
America MG vs Operario-PR
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Operario-PR Compare

Top Goalscorer de Moraes Rodrigues O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

America MG Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Operario-PR 95 / 100
America MG 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Operario-PR America MG

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OPE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

America MG let in goals in 93% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Operario-PR stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: America MG has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Operario-PR's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Operario-PR VS America MG
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Criciuma1796220:1233
2Vila Nova FC1794425:1931
3Operario-PR1794422:1831
4Novorizontino1786328:1630
5EC Juventude1785417:829
6Fortaleza1784520:1728
7Sao Bernardo1775523:1626
8Sport Recife1768321:1526
9Goias1774618:2325
10Atletico GO1766519:1924
11Cuiaba1759314:1124
12Athletic Club1758416:1623
13Nautico1763821:2121
14Botafogo SP1755720:1820
15CRB1755726:3120
16Londrina1754825:2519
17Ceara1746715:2018
18Avai1744918:2416
19Ponte Preta17221311:338
20America MG17141211:287