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Operario-PR vs Botafogo SP - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estádio Germano Krüger, Ponta Grossa
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Vinicius Diniz
Assist: Aylon
36'
Isaac Maciel L.
44' Event
Patrick Brey

AI Match Summary

Botafogo SP in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Botafogo SP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Operario-PR
30%
Draws
23%
Botafogo SP
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Operario-PR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Botafogo SP haven't matched Operario-PR's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Operario-PR a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Operario-PR Clean Sheet 20%
Botafogo SP Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Operario-PR Botafogo SP
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 7
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.54 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 Serie B
Operario-PR vs Botafogo SP
1:2
Jun 14, 2026 Serie B
Botafogo SP vs Operario-PR
2:1
Sep 18, 2025 Serie B
Botafogo SP vs Operario-PR
1:1
May 17, 2025 Serie B
Operario-PR vs Botafogo SP
3:0
Oct 13, 2024 Serie B
Botafogo SP vs Operario-PR
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Operario-PR Compare

Top Goalscorer Vinicius Diniz
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Botafogo SP Compare

Top Goalscorer Patrick Brey
1 Goals
Assists Leader Everton Morelli
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Operario-PR 42 / 100
Botafogo SP 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Operario-PR Botafogo SP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botafogo SP has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Operario-PR found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Operario-PR remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Operario-PR VS Botafogo SP
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Operario-PR

(Home)
02 Oct
EC Juventude
3 : 0
Operario-PR
26 Sept
Operario-PR
2 : 2
Ceara
22 Sept
Criciuma
0 : 2
Operario-PR
15 Sept
Nautico
3 : 3
Operario-PR
09 Sept
Operario-PR
3 : 0
CRB
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Botafogo SP

(Away)
03 Oct
Botafogo SP
0 : 1
Vila Nova FC
29 Sept
Botafogo SP
2 : 0
Ponte Preta
19 Sept
Athletic Club
1 : 1
Botafogo SP
14 Sept
Botafogo SP
1 : 3
Goias
09 Sept
Botafogo SP
1 : 3
Novorizontino
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EC Juventude 32 17 8 7 37:19 59
2 Vila Nova FC 32 17 7 8 44:31 58
3 Fortaleza 32 15 11 6 37:27 56
4 Novorizontino 31 15 9 7 52:27 54
5 Criciuma 31 15 8 8 33:27 53
6 Atletico GO 32 14 10 8 40:30 52
7 CRB 32 15 6 11 49:45 51
8 Sport Recife 32 13 11 8 44:34 50
9 Operario-PR 32 13 9 10 44:43 48
10 Cuiaba 32 11 14 7 32:25 47
11 Goias 32 13 6 13 32:40 45
12 Sao Bernardo 32 12 9 11 44:34 45
13 Nautico 31 11 9 11 39:38 42
14 Athletic Club 32 10 12 10 38:37 42
15 Ceara 31 10 9 12 34:39 39
16 Botafogo SP 32 10 8 14 36:38 38
17 Avai 32 9 6 17 32:43 33
18 Londrina 32 7 7 18 40:47 28
19 America MG 32 4 5 23 21:53 17
20 Ponte Preta 32 3 4 25 17:68 13
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)