Sport Picks

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Operario-PR vs Ceara

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estádio Germano Krüger, Ponta Grossa
Sat, Sep 26, 2026
VS
07:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Operario-PR host Ceara in the Serie B. Operario-PR are expected to control this from the start. Ceara have shipped 1.37 goals a game lately, while Operario-PR have conceded 1.43 and scored 1.43. Past meetings favor Operario-PR slightly — 1-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 31, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Operario-PR. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Operario-PR
35%
Draws
28%
Ceara
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Operario-PR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Operario-PR carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Operario-PR's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Operario-PR Clean Sheet 20%
Ceara Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Operario-PR Ceara
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.43 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Serie B
Ceara vs Operario-PR
1:2
Sep 8, 2024 Serie B
Ceara vs Operario-PR
2:1
May 19, 2024 Serie B
Operario-PR vs Ceara
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Operario-PR 76 / 100
Ceara 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Operario-PR Ceara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Operario-PR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ceara conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Operario-PR has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Operario-PR found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Operario-PR VS Ceara
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Operario-PR

(Home)
15 Sept
Nautico
3 : 3
Operario-PR
09 Sept
Operario-PR
3 : 0
CRB
06 Sept
Londrina
1 : 2
Operario-PR
31 Aug
Fortaleza
1 : 1
Operario-PR
23 Aug
Operario-PR
0 : 0
Vila Nova FC
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Ceara

(Away)
13 Sept
Fortaleza
1 : 1
Ceara
10 Sept
Atletico GO
2 : 1
Ceara
05 Sept
Ceara
2 : 1
Sport Recife
30 Aug
Vila Nova FC
2 : 0
Ceara
22 Aug
Ceara
2 : 1
Londrina
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Novorizontino 28 14 8 6 48:25 50
2 EC Juventude 28 14 8 6 30:17 50
3 Vila Nova FC 28 14 6 8 40:31 48
4 Fortaleza 28 13 9 6 31:23 48
5 Criciuma 28 13 8 7 28:25 47
6 Atletico GO 28 12 10 6 36:26 46
7 CRB 28 13 6 9 42:40 45
8 Operario-PR 28 12 8 8 39:36 44
9 Sport Recife 28 10 11 7 37:28 41
10 Athletic Club 28 10 10 8 33:30 40
11 Cuiaba 28 9 13 6 27:22 40
12 Goias 28 11 6 11 28:34 39
13 Sao Bernardo 28 10 8 10 39:31 38
14 Nautico 28 10 8 10 35:33 38
15 Ceara 28 8 8 12 29:36 32
16 Botafogo SP 28 8 7 13 31:35 31
17 Avai 28 8 6 14 29:36 30
18 Londrina 28 7 7 14 38:39 28
19 America MG 28 4 5 19 21:48 17
20 Ponte Preta 28 2 4 22 16:62 10
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)