Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Operario-PR vs Ponte Preta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estádio Germano Krüger, Ponta Grossa
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Brandao
Assist: Marcio Silva
31' Event
Pablo
34'
Marcio Silva

AI Match Summary

Operario-PR in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Operario-PR.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Operario-PR
20%
Draws
30%
Ponte Preta
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Operario-PR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Operario-PR lately — more wins on the board than Ponte Preta.
  • Operario-PR are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Operario-PR Clean Sheet 68%
Ponte Preta Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Operario-PR Ponte Preta
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 3
Draws 6 3
Losses 11 23
Goals Scored 1.52 0.52
Goals Conceded 1.55 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 Serie B
Operario-PR vs Ponte Preta
3:2
Aug 24, 2024 Serie B
Ponte Preta vs Operario-PR
0:1
May 11, 2024 Serie B
Operario-PR vs Ponte Preta
1:1
Jul 30, 2022 Serie B
Ponte Preta vs Operario-PR
3:0
Apr 16, 2022 Serie B
Operario-PR vs Ponte Preta
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Operario-PR Compare

Top Goalscorer Pablo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pereira H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Ponte Preta Compare

Top Goalscorer Brandao
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Operario-PR 95 / 100
Ponte Preta 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Operario-PR Ponte Preta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Operario-PR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ponte Preta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Operario-PR's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Operario-PR stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Operario-PR VS Ponte Preta
1.63 Goals Scored 0.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Operario-PR

(Home)
07 Oct
Operario-PR
1 : 2
Botafogo SP
02 Oct
EC Juventude
3 : 0
Operario-PR
26 Sept
Operario-PR
2 : 2
Ceara
22 Sept
Criciuma
0 : 2
Operario-PR
15 Sept
Nautico
3 : 3
Operario-PR
Page 1 of 6

Ponte Preta

(Away)
07 Oct
Ponte Preta
0 : 2
EC Juventude
03 Oct
Cuiaba
2 : 0
Ponte Preta
29 Sept
Botafogo SP
2 : 0
Ponte Preta
20 Sept
Ponte Preta
1 : 0
CRB
15 Sept
Londrina
6 : 0
Ponte Preta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EC Juventude 32 17 8 7 37:19 59
2 Vila Nova FC 32 17 7 8 44:31 58
3 Novorizontino 32 16 9 7 54:27 57
4 Fortaleza 32 15 11 6 37:27 56
5 Criciuma 32 15 8 9 33:28 53
6 Atletico GO 32 14 10 8 40:30 52
7 CRB 32 15 6 11 49:45 51
8 Sport Recife 32 13 11 8 44:34 50
9 Operario-PR 32 13 9 10 44:43 48
10 Cuiaba 32 11 14 7 32:25 47
11 Goias 32 13 6 13 32:40 45
12 Sao Bernardo 32 12 9 11 44:34 45
13 Nautico 32 11 9 12 39:40 42
14 Ceara 32 11 9 12 35:39 42
15 Athletic Club 32 10 12 10 38:37 42
16 Botafogo SP 32 10 8 14 36:38 38
17 Avai 32 9 6 17 32:43 33
18 Londrina 32 7 7 18 40:47 28
19 America MG 32 4 5 23 21:53 17
20 Ponte Preta 32 3 4 25 17:68 13
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)