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Operario-PR vs Ponte Preta

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estádio Germano Krüger
Wed, Jul 22, 2026
VS
10:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Operario-PR host Ponte Preta in the Serie B. Operario-PR go into this one as the clear favorite. Ponte Preta have shipped 2.38 goals a game lately, while Operario-PR have conceded 1.38 and scored 1.63. Past meetings favor Operario-PR slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 24, 2024, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Operario-PR. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Operario-PR
6%
Draws
4%
Ponte Preta
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Operario-PR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Operario-PR lately — more wins on the board than Ponte Preta.
  • Operario-PR are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Operario-PR Clean Sheet 20%
Ponte Preta Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Operario-PR Ponte Preta
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 4
Draws 9 4
Losses 6 21
Goals Scored 1.63 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2024 Serie B
Ponte Preta vs Operario-PR
0:1
May 11, 2024 Serie B
Operario-PR vs Ponte Preta
1:1
Jul 30, 2022 Serie B
Ponte Preta vs Operario-PR
3:0
Apr 16, 2022 Serie B
Operario-PR vs Ponte Preta
2:0
Sep 23, 2021 Serie B
Operario-PR vs Ponte Preta
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Operario-PR 85 / 100
Ponte Preta 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Operario-PR Ponte Preta

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OPE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ponte Preta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Ponte Preta's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Operario-PR stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Operario-PR VS Ponte Preta
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Criciuma1796220:1233
2Vila Nova FC1794425:1931
3Operario-PR1794422:1831
4Novorizontino1786328:1630
5EC Juventude1785417:829
6Fortaleza1784520:1728
7Sao Bernardo1775523:1626
8Sport Recife1768321:1526
9Goias1774618:2325
10Atletico GO1766519:1924
11Cuiaba1759314:1124
12Athletic Club1657416:1622
13Nautico1763821:2121
14Botafogo SP1755720:1820
15CRB1755726:3120
16Londrina1653824:2418
17Ceara1645715:2017
18Avai1744918:2416
19Ponte Preta17221311:338
20America MG16131210:276