Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Operario vs Moura AC

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Carrasco Serafim Lemos M. B.
47' Event
Da Costa Benevides R.
50' Event
Mamadu Cande

AI Match Summary

Operario in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Operario.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Operario
15%
Draws
85%
Moura AC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Moura AC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Moura AC lately — more wins on the board than Operario.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Moura AC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Operario Clean Sheet 17%
Moura AC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Operario Moura AC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 0.8 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Operario vs Moura AC
4:2
Sep 15, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Moura AC vs Operario
1:2
Feb 18, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Moura AC vs Operario
2:1
Oct 8, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Operario vs Moura AC
1:3
Dec 14, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Moura AC vs Operario
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Operario Compare

Top Goalscorer Da Costa Benevides R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mamadu Cande
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Moura AC Compare

Top Goalscorer Carrasco Serafim Lemos M. B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Operario 10 / 100
Moura AC 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Operario Moura AC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moura AC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moura AC has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Moura AC's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Operario scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Operario VS Moura AC
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Operario

(Home)
21 Sept
Louletano
5 : 0
Operario
13 Apr
Operario
2 : 4
Sintrense
06 Apr
Louletano
1 : 0
Operario
29 Mar
Operario
0 : 2
Industria
16 Mar
Moncarapachense
3 : 1
Operario
Page 1 of 6

Moura AC

(Away)
13 Apr
Moura AC
1 : 2
Amora
06 Apr
Lagoa
0 : 1
Moura AC
29 Mar
Moura AC
1 : 1
Estrela da Amadora B
16 Mar
Moura AC
1 : 2
Sintrense
09 Mar
Moura AC
0 : 1
Louletano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lusitano GC 26 18 4 4 57:14 58
2 Amora 26 17 6 3 41:19 57
3 Sintrense 26 16 4 6 39:26 52
4 Moncarapachense 26 15 6 5 39:19 51
5 Louletano 26 15 5 6 44:20 50
6 Serpa 26 13 6 7 42:27 45
7 Estrela da Amadora B 26 7 9 10 35:31 30
8 Lagoa 26 7 9 10 26:35 30
9 Industria 26 8 5 13 35:42 29
10 Fabril do Barreiro 26 6 9 11 21:32 27
11 Moura AC 26 7 5 14 27:50 26
12 Operario 26 6 5 15 22:43 23
13 FC Barreirense 26 5 7 14 31:47 22
14 Estrela Vendas Novas 26 1 2 23 12:66 5
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)