Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Operario vs Tocha

Portugal Portugal

Second Division - Zona Centro
Operario Logo

Operario

3 - 0
FT
Tocha Logo

Tocha

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Operario in this Second Division - Zona Centro matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Operario.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Operario
15%
Draws
85%
Tocha
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tocha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Operario lately — more wins on the board than Tocha.
  • Model gives Tocha a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Operario Clean Sheet 19%
Tocha Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Operario Tocha
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 3
Draws 5 9
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 0.87 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.65 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 20, 2013 Second Division - Zona Centro
Operario vs Tocha
3:0
Sep 2, 2012 Second Division - Zona Centro
Tocha vs Operario
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Operario 28 / 100
Tocha 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Operario Tocha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tocha Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tocha has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Tocha lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Operario scored in 48% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Operario VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Operario

(Home)
21 Sept
Louletano
5 : 0
Operario
13 Apr
Operario
2 : 4
Sintrense
06 Apr
Louletano
1 : 0
Operario
29 Mar
Operario
0 : 2
Industria
16 Mar
Moncarapachense
3 : 1
Operario
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Tocha

(Away)
21 Sept
Tocha
1 : 4
Penafiel
23 Sept
Tocha
2 : 4
Rebordosa
10 Sept
Lusitano FCV
0 : 2
Tocha
27 Sept
Anca
3 : 1
Tocha
03 Sept
Tocha
1 : 2
Esmoriz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academico Viseu 30 16 10 4 47:21 58
2 Cinfaes 30 14 11 5 50:31 53
3 Operario 30 13 9 8 44:33 48
4 SC Espinho 30 13 9 8 36:32 48
5 SB Castelo Branco 30 12 10 8 44:33 46
6 FC Pampilhosa 30 13 7 10 42:38 46
7 Sousense 30 10 11 9 37:34 41
8 Anadia 30 12 4 14 31:38 40
9 Sao Joao de Ver 30 11 7 12 35:39 40
10 Coimbroes 30 8 13 9 35:41 37
11 Nogueirense 30 9 9 12 34:39 36
12 GD Tourizense 30 8 11 11 27:31 35
13 FC Cesarense 30 8 10 12 28:35 34
14 Bustelo 30 6 13 11 32:41 31
15 SC Lusitania 30 6 11 13 38:50 29
16 Tocha 30 3 11 16 24:48 20
Promotion - Segunda Liga 2013/2014 (Main)