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Operario VG vs Pocone - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Campeonato Matogrossense 2021
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Matogrossense 2021 game between Operario VG and Pocone finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Operario VG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Operario VG
35%
Draws
39%
Pocone
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pocone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Operario VG carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Pocone a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato Matogrossense 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Operario VG here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Operario VG Clean Sheet 20%
Pocone Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Operario VG Pocone
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 9 7
Draws 7 7
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 0.91 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2021 Matogrossense
Operario VG vs Pocone
3:1
Jan 21, 2020 Matogrossense
Operario VG vs Pocone
1:0
Feb 24, 2018 Matogrossense
Operario VG vs Pocone
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Operario VG 10 / 100
Pocone 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Operario VG Pocone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pocone Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pocone's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Operario VG scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Operario VG remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Operario VG VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Operario VG

(Home)
07 Jun
Goiatuba EC
1 : 0
Operario VG
30 May
Operario VG
1 : 5
Capital
23 May
Mixto
1 : 1
Operario VG
16 May
Operario VG
1 : 2
Uniao Rondonopolis
09 May
Ceilandia
0 : 1
Operario VG
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Pocone

(Away)
23 Jun
Pocone
1 : 2
Sport Sinop
16 Jun
Sport Sinop
2 : 2
Pocone
08 Jun
Gremio Sorriso
1 : 3
Pocone
02 Jun
Pocone
0 : 0
Gremio Sorriso
26 May
Pocone
1 : 1
Rondonopolis EC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cuiaba 9 7 2 0 19:3 23
2 Operario VG 9 6 1 2 18:9 19
3 Nova Mutum EC 9 5 4 0 14:5 19
4 Uniao Rondonopolis 9 4 3 2 13:8 15
5 Acao 9 4 2 3 16:8 14
6 Luverdense 9 2 5 2 7:7 11
7 Gremio Sorriso 9 2 4 3 11:14 10
8 Dom Bosco 9 2 2 5 10:15 8
9 Pocone 9 1 1 7 8:30 4
10 Sinop FC 9 0 0 9 5:22 0
Promotion - Campeonato Matogrossense 2021 (Play Offs)