Sport Picks
Match Events
45'
45'
Kerroum A.
(Penalty)
70'
70'
Motrani Z.
73'
73'
Askar A.
AI Match Summary
Mostaganem in this Algeria Cup tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Oran
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Oran lately — more wins on the board than Mostaganem.
- Oran are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Oran have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Mostaganem, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Oran Clean Sheet 68%
Mostaganem Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Oran | Mostaganem |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 14 | 5 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 0.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 3.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 3.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 7, 2026 Ligue 1
Mostaganem vs Oran
0:0
Dec 5, 2025 Algeria Cup
Oran vs Mostaganem
1:2
Sep 5, 2025 Ligue 1
Oran vs Mostaganem
0:0
Feb 19, 2025 Ligue 1
Oran vs Mostaganem
1:0
Sep 28, 2024 Ligue 1
Mostaganem vs Oran
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Oran Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Mostaganem Compare
Top Goalscorer Motrani Z.
1 Goals Assists Leader Askar A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Oran 95 / 100
Mostaganem 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Oran Mostaganem
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ORA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Mostaganem conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.
Attacking prowess: Oran scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Oran has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Mostaganem lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Oran VS Mostaganem
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 3.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Oran
(Home) 28 Jul
Oran
3 : 0 Muaither SC
06 Jun
Oran
2 : 2 USM Alger
20 May
CR Belouizdad
3 : 1 Oran
07 May
Oran
1 : 0 ASO Chlef
29 Apr
Kabylie
1 : 2 Oran
Page 1 of 6
28 Jul
Oran
3 : 0 Muaither SC
06 Jun
Oran
2 : 2 USM Alger
07 May
Oran
1 : 0 ASO Chlef
09 Apr
Oran
2 : 1 Rouisset
17 Mar
Oran
2 : 0 El Bayadh
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Mostaganem
(Away) 05 Jun
Mostaganem
2 : 2 El Bayadh
19 May
ES Ben Aknoun
3 : 0 Mostaganem
12 May
USM Alger
1 : 1 Mostaganem
07 May
Mostaganem
0 : 4 Saoura
10 Apr
Mostaganem
0 : 3 Khenchela
Page 1 of 7
19 May
ES Ben Aknoun
3 : 0 Mostaganem
12 May
USM Alger
1 : 1 Mostaganem
05 Apr
CR Belouizdad
7 : 0 Mostaganem
13 Mar
ASO Chlef
1 : 0 Mostaganem
28 Feb
ES Setif
3 : 0 Mostaganem
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
CA Batna2
Annaba1
Kolea1
Bordj Menail0
Paradou3
Adrar0
USF Constantine4
Metlili Chaamba2
Frenda2
Mila1
ASO Chlef1
Sidi Abdelmoumen0
MB Barika1
Marsa El Hadjadj0
Saida3
Telaghema0
MO Bejaia1
Harrach2
Kabylie7
MB Hassi Messaoud0
Magra0
USM Alger1
MO Constantine3
Kais1
Sidi Ali Boussidi0
Arba1
Oran1
Mostaganem2
Bethioua0
Saoura1
Khroub2
Olympique Akbou0
Constantine4
JS El Biar1
CR Temouchent1
Hamaissa0
Bechar Djedid4
GC Mascara3
ES Setif1
Beni Thamou0
Tessala0
Bejaia1
Widad Adabi de Boufarik3
Naama0
Beni Oulbane0
Amal Bou Saada1
Hussein Dey3
Sedrata0
Wifaq Ain Benian2
SC Mecheria1
CR Belouizdad2
Oued Fodda1
Ain Kercha1
Illizi0
Beni Thour1
ASM Oran2
MC Alger1
El Bayadh0
Khenchela1
Rouisset0
ES Ben Aknoun2
RA Ain Defla0
ESF Bir El Ater2
Kadiria0
1/16-finals
CA Batna5
Kolea1
Paradou2
USF Constantine0
Frenda0
ASO Chlef1
MB Barika1
Saida2
Harrach1
Kabylie0
USM Alger3
MO Constantine0
Arba0
Mostaganem1
Saoura2
Khroub0
Constantine3
CR Temouchent0
Bechar Djedid0
ES Setif4
Bejaia4
Widad Adabi de Boufarik1
Amal Bou Saada0
Hussein Dey1
Wifaq Ain Benian1
CR Belouizdad5
Ain Kercha0
ASM Oran2
MC Alger2
Khenchela1
ES Ben Aknoun2
ESF Bir El Ater0
1/8-finals
CA Batna4
Paradou3
ASO Chlef0
Saida1
Harrach2
USM Alger3
Mostaganem0
Saoura2
Constantine2
ES Setif1
Bejaia3
Hussein Dey0
CR Belouizdad3
ASM Oran0
MC Alger1
ES Ben Aknoun0
Quarter-finals
CA Batna1
Saida0
USM Alger1
Saoura0
Constantine1
Bejaia0
CR Belouizdad3
MC Alger2
Semi-finals
CA Batna1
USM Alger3
Constantine2
CR Belouizdad3
Final
USM Alger2
CR Belouizdad1
