Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Oran vs Mostaganem

Algeria Algeria

Algeria Cup
Oran Logo

Oran

1 - 2
FT
Mostaganem Logo

Mostaganem

Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Kerroum A.
(Penalty)
70' Event
Motrani Z.
73' Event
Askar A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Oran
30%
Draws
23%
Mostaganem
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Oran

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Oran lately — more wins on the board than Mostaganem.
  • Oran are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Oran have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mostaganem, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Oran Clean Sheet 68%
Mostaganem Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oran Mostaganem
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 5
Draws 6 5
Losses 8 19
Goals Scored 1.28 0.66
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Ligue 1
Mostaganem vs Oran
0:0
Dec 5, 2025 Algeria Cup
Oran vs Mostaganem
1:2
Sep 5, 2025 Ligue 1
Oran vs Mostaganem
0:0
Feb 19, 2025 Ligue 1
Oran vs Mostaganem
1:0
Sep 28, 2024 Ligue 1
Mostaganem vs Oran
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oran Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Mostaganem Compare

Top Goalscorer Motrani Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Askar A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oran 95 / 100
Mostaganem 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oran Mostaganem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oran Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mostaganem conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Oran scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Oran has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Oran VS Mostaganem
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Oran

(Home)
18 Sept
ASO Chlef
0 : 1
Oran
11 Sept
Oran
2 : 0
CR Temouchent
28 Jul
Oran
3 : 0
Muaither SC
06 Jun
Oran
2 : 2
USM Alger
20 May
CR Belouizdad
3 : 1
Oran
Page 1 of 6

Mostaganem

(Away)
26 Sept
Mostaganem
1 : 0
Hussein Dey
19 Sept
Mostaganem
1 : 2
USM Blida
05 Jun
Mostaganem
2 : 2
El Bayadh
19 May
ES Ben Aknoun
3 : 0
Mostaganem
12 May
USM Alger
1 : 1
Mostaganem
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
CA Batna 2
Annaba 1
Kolea 1
Bordj Menail 0
Paradou 3
Adrar 0
USF Constantine 4
Metlili Chaamba 2
Frenda 2
Mila 1
ASO Chlef 1
Sidi Abdelmoumen 0
MB Barika 1
Marsa El Hadjadj 0
Saida 3
Telaghema 0
MO Bejaia 1
Harrach 2
Kabylie 7
MB Hassi Messaoud 0
Magra 0
USM Alger 1
MO Constantine 3
Kais 1
Sidi Ali Boussidi 0
Arba 1
Oran 1
Mostaganem 2
Bethioua 0
Saoura 1
Khroub 2
Olympique Akbou 0
Constantine 4
JS El Biar 1
CR Temouchent 1
Hamaissa 0
Bechar Djedid 4
GC Mascara 3
ES Setif 1
Beni Thamou 0
Tessala 0
Bejaia 1
Widad Adabi de Boufarik 3
Naama 0
Beni Oulbane 0
Amal Bou Saada 1
Hussein Dey 3
Sedrata 0
Wifaq Ain Benian 2
SC Mecheria 1
CR Belouizdad 2
Oued Fodda 1
Ain Kercha 1
Illizi 0
Beni Thour 1
ASM Oran 2
MC Alger 1
El Bayadh 0
Khenchela 1
Rouisset 0
ES Ben Aknoun 2
RA Ain Defla 0
ESF Bir El Ater 2
Kadiria 0
1/16-finals
CA Batna 5
Kolea 1
Paradou 2
USF Constantine 0
Frenda 0
ASO Chlef 1
MB Barika 1
Saida 2
Harrach 1
Kabylie 0
USM Alger 3
MO Constantine 0
Arba 0
Mostaganem 1
Saoura 2
Khroub 0
Constantine 3
CR Temouchent 0
Bechar Djedid 0
ES Setif 4
Bejaia 4
Widad Adabi de Boufarik 1
Amal Bou Saada 0
Hussein Dey 1
Wifaq Ain Benian 1
CR Belouizdad 5
Ain Kercha 0
ASM Oran 2
MC Alger 2
Khenchela 1
ES Ben Aknoun 2
ESF Bir El Ater 0
1/8-finals
CA Batna 4
Paradou 3
ASO Chlef 0
Saida 1
Harrach 2
USM Alger 3
Mostaganem 0
Saoura 2
Constantine 2
ES Setif 1
Bejaia 3
Hussein Dey 0
CR Belouizdad 3
ASM Oran 0
MC Alger 1
ES Ben Aknoun 0
Quarter-finals
CA Batna 1
Saida 0
USM Alger 1
Saoura 0
Constantine 1
Bejaia 0
CR Belouizdad 3
MC Alger 2
Semi-finals
CA Batna 1
USM Alger 3
Constantine 2
CR Belouizdad 3
Final
USM Alger 2
CR Belouizdad 1