Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Oran vs USM Alger

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 1 Miloud Hadefi stadium, Oran
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Boutaoui M.
27' Event
Chetti I.
34'
Azzi I.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Oran and USM Alger finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Oran
40%
Draws
29%
USM Alger
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Oran's 1.33 goals per match outpaces what USM Alger have produced (1.25).
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Oran Clean Sheet 16%
USM Alger Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oran USM Alger
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 13 13
Draws 7 13
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.33 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.67 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.33 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.67 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Ligue 1
Oran vs USM Alger
2:2
Jan 8, 2026 Ligue 1
USM Alger vs Oran
1:1
Jun 20, 2025 Ligue 1
Oran vs USM Alger
4:0
Dec 26, 2024 Ligue 1
USM Alger vs Oran
3:0
May 21, 2024 Ligue 1
Oran vs USM Alger
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oran Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdelkader M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Benkhedim B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.02
Avg xA / game 0.67

USM Alger Compare

Top Goalscorer Boutaoui M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chetti I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oran 31 / 100
USM Alger 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oran USM Alger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oran's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

USM Alger has conceded goals in 62% of their last 34 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Oran remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Oran VS USM Alger
1.33 Goals Scored 1.25
1.67 Goals Conceded 0.88
83% Over 1.5 75%
83% Over 2.5 38%
33% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Oran

(Home)
06 Jun
Oran
2 : 2
USM Alger
20 May
CR Belouizdad
3 : 1
Oran
07 May
Oran
1 : 0
ASO Chlef
29 Apr
Kabylie
1 : 2
Oran
17 Apr
ES Setif
3 : 0
Oran
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USM Alger

(Away)
06 Jun
Oran
2 : 2
USM Alger
04 Jun
ES Ben Aknoun
2 : 2
USM Alger
02 Jun
USM Alger
1 : 1
CR Belouizdad
30 May
Rouisset
1 : 0
USM Alger
25 May
Khenchela
2 : 1
USM Alger
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1MC Alger30205541:1865
2Saoura30167740:2655
3CR Belouizdad301411547:2453
4Oran30147936:3149
5Kabylie301112740:3145
6Olympique Akbou30129934:3145
7Khenchela301281037:3744
8ES Ben Aknoun301110941:3943
9Constantine301110935:3043
10USM Alger30815734:2939
11ES Setif301091133:3639
12Rouisset30991230:3536
13ASO Chlef30971426:3134
14Paradou30732035:5424
15Mostaganem30471918:5219
16El Bayadh302111717:4017
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2026/2027 (Main)