Sport Picks
Match Events
25'
25'
Boutaoui M.
27'
27'
Chetti I.
34'
34'
Azzi I.
AI Match Summary
The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between Oran and USM Alger finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
35%
27%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Oran
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Oran carry the better recent record into this one.
- 38% — that's where the model lands on Oran taking it.
- Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Oran Clean Sheet 68%
USM Alger Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Oran | USM Alger |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 13 |
| Losses | 8 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.22 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 0.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.04 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 6, 2026 Ligue 1
Oran vs USM Alger
2:2
Jan 8, 2026 Ligue 1
USM Alger vs Oran
1:1
Jun 20, 2025 Ligue 1
Oran vs USM Alger
4:0
Dec 26, 2024 Ligue 1
USM Alger vs Oran
3:0
May 21, 2024 Ligue 1
Oran vs USM Alger
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Oran Compare
Top Goalscorer Abdelkader M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Benkhedim B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
USM Alger Compare
Top Goalscorer Boutaoui M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Chetti I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Oran 59 / 100
USM Alger 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Oran USM Alger
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Oran Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Oran's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Oran went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Defensive concern: USM Alger conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Oran VS USM Alger
1.14 Goals Scored 1.38
0.71 Goals Conceded 1.25
57% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Oran
(Home) 11 Sept
Oran
2 : 0 CR Temouchent
28 Jul
Oran
3 : 0 Muaither SC
06 Jun
Oran
2 : 2 USM Alger
20 May
CR Belouizdad
3 : 1 Oran
07 May
Oran
1 : 0 ASO Chlef
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Oran
2 : 0 CR Temouchent
28 Jul
Oran
3 : 0 Muaither SC
06 Jun
Oran
2 : 2 USM Alger
07 May
Oran
1 : 0 ASO Chlef
09 Apr
Oran
2 : 1 Rouisset
Page 1 of 3
USM Alger
(Away) 10 Sept
USM Alger
2 : 0 JS El Biar
04 Sept
Khenchela
0 : 0 USM Alger
15 Aug
Club Africain
0 : 0 USM Alger
06 Jun
Oran
2 : 2 USM Alger
04 Jun
ES Ben Aknoun
2 : 2 USM Alger
Page 1 of 6
04 Sept
Khenchela
0 : 0 USM Alger
15 Aug
Club Africain
0 : 0 USM Alger
06 Jun
Oran
2 : 2 USM Alger
04 Jun
ES Ben Aknoun
2 : 2 USM Alger
30 May
Rouisset
1 : 0 USM Alger
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MC Alger | 30 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 41:18 | 65 |
| 2 | Saoura | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 40:26 | 55 |
| 3 | CR Belouizdad | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 47:24 | 53 |
| 4 | Oran | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 36:31 | 49 |
| 5 | Kabylie | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 40:31 | 45 |
| 6 | Olympique Akbou | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 34:31 | 45 |
| 7 | Khenchela | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 37:37 | 44 |
| 8 | ES Ben Aknoun | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 41:39 | 43 |
| 9 | Constantine | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 35:30 | 43 |
| 10 | USM Alger | 30 | 8 | 15 | 7 | 34:29 | 39 |
| 11 | ES Setif | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33:36 | 39 |
| 12 | Rouisset | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 30:35 | 36 |
| 13 | ASO Chlef | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 26:31 | 34 |
| 14 | Paradou | 30 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 35:54 | 24 |
| 15 | Mostaganem | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 18:52 | 19 |
| 16 | El Bayadh | 30 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 17:40 | 17 |
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)
