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Oran vs USM Setif

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 2 2008/2009
Oran Logo

Oran

3 - 0
FT
USM Setif Logo

USM Setif

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Oran in this Ligue 2 2008/2009 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Oran.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Oran
15%
Draws
32%
USM Setif
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Oran

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • USM Setif haven't matched Oran's recent run of results.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Oran taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2008/2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Oran have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Oran Clean Sheet 20%
USM Setif Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oran USM Setif
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 12
Draws 6 5
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.21 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2025 Algeria Cup
USM Setif vs Oran
0:1
May 15, 2009 Ligue 2
Oran vs USM Setif
3:0
Nov 28, 2008 Ligue 2
USM Setif vs Oran
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oran 67 / 100
USM Setif 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oran USM Setif

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oran Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: USM Setif conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Oran scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Recent resilience: Oran stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Oran VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Oran

(Home)
18 Sept
ASO Chlef
0 : 1
Oran
11 Sept
Oran
2 : 0
CR Temouchent
28 Jul
Oran
3 : 0
Muaither SC
06 Jun
Oran
2 : 2
USM Alger
20 May
CR Belouizdad
3 : 1
Oran
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USM Setif

(Away)
11 Jan
USM Setif
0 : 1
Oran
04 Jan
ISC Tlemcen
1 : 3
USM Setif
18 Dec
Mohammadia SA
2 : 1
USM Setif
26 Dec
ASM Oran
2 : 1
USM Setif
13 Dec
Bechar Djedid
0 : 3
USM Setif
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tlemcen 32 20 7 5 58:18 67
2 Oran 32 17 9 6 33:18 60
3 CA Batna 32 15 9 8 42:29 54
4 Paradou 32 16 5 11 46:30 53
5 Mohammadia SA 32 16 4 12 34:30 52
6 ASM Oran 32 11 13 8 30:29 46
7 Mostaganem 32 13 7 12 42:43 46
8 Constantine 32 12 9 11 29:32 45
9 MO Constantine 32 13 5 14 33:32 44
10 Biskra 32 12 6 14 31:30 42
11 WR Bentalha 32 10 12 10 26:31 42
12 Bel Abbes 32 11 8 13 33:36 41
13 Skikda 32 11 7 14 28:38 40
14 OM Arzew 32 9 8 15 32:41 35
15 USM Setif 32 8 6 18 31:49 30
16 MO Bejaia 32 6 10 16 21:40 28
17 Annasser 32 6 7 19 25:48 25
Promotion - Ligue 1 2009/2010 (Main)