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Orange County SC II vs Tucson

USA USA

USL Premier Development League 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tucson in this USL Premier Development League 2015 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tucson.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Orange County SC II
20%
Draws
42%
Tucson
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tucson

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tucson lately — more wins on the board than Orange County SC II.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular USL Premier Development League 2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Tucson have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Orange County SC II Clean Sheet 19%
Tucson Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orange County SC II Tucson
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 16
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.57 2.67
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2016 USL League Two
Tucson vs Orange County SC II
3:0
May 31, 2016 USL League Two
Orange County SC II vs Tucson
1:3
Jul 13, 2015 USL League Two
Orange County SC II vs Tucson
1:4
Jun 29, 2014 USL League Two
Orange County SC II vs Tucson
2:3
May 18, 2014 USL League Two
Tucson vs Orange County SC II
7:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orange County SC II 32 / 100
Tucson 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orange County SC II Tucson

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tucson Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orange County SC II scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Tucson let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Orange County SC II went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tucson
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Orange County SC II

(Home)
14 Jul
San Francisco Glens SC
1 : 1
Orange County SC II
13 Jul
San Francisco City
1 : 3
Orange County SC II
07 Jul
Southern California Eagles
1 : 1
Orange County SC II
03 Jul
San Diego Zest
3 : 1
Orange County SC II
30 Jun
Orange County SC II
4 : 2
Santa Cruz Breakers FC
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Tucson

(Away)
18 Jul
San Francisco City
1 : 0
Tucson
11 Jul
Tucson
2 : 1
Capo
07 Jul
Stars FC
0 : 1
Tucson
04 Jul
Tucson
4 : 1
Stars FC
01 Jul
Ventura
2 : 1
Tucson
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