Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Orange County SC vs Colorado Springs

USA USA

USL Cup Championship Soccer Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Foster I.
46'
Sub
Foster I. In: Lacroix D.
Out: Foster I.
46'
Sub
Metusala G. In: Mahoney M.
Out: Metusala G.

AI Match Summary

The USL Cup game between Orange County SC and Colorado Springs finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Colorado Springs.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Orange County SC
39%
Draws
30%
Colorado Springs
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Colorado Springs carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal USL Cup game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Orange County SC Clean Sheet 12%
Colorado Springs Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orange County SC Colorado Springs
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 11 16
Draws 12 5
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 2.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 2 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 USL Cup
Orange County SC vs Colorado Springs
0:3
May 9, 2026 USL Championship
Colorado Springs vs Orange County SC
2:2
Mar 22, 2026 USL Championship
Orange County SC vs Colorado Springs
1:0
Aug 17, 2025 USL Championship
Colorado Springs vs Orange County SC
0:1
May 25, 2025 USL Championship
Orange County SC vs Colorado Springs
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orange County SC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Colorado Springs Compare

Top Goalscorer Rocha A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Masereka S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orange County SC 30 / 100
Colorado Springs 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orange County SC Colorado Springs

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orange County SC scored in 79% of their last 34 games.

Colorado Springs let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Orange County SC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Orange County SC VS Colorado Springs
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Spokane Velocity43016:69
2Sacramento Republic43017:38
3Athletic Club Boise43019:68
4Oakland Roots41034:64
5Las Vegas Lights41034:74
6Monterey Bay41038:103
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Colorado Springs440010:112
2New Mexico43018:59
3El Paso Locomotive42025:56
4AV Alta FC42025:66
5Phoenix Rising41033:83
6Orange County SC40043:90
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Antonio FC44006:111
2Birmingham Legion43018:39
3One Knoxville43016:46
4FC Tulsa41034:74
5Corpus Christi FC41032:64
6Chattanooga Red Wolves40042:72
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Louisville City440013:411
2Detroit City42024:48
3Indy Eleven43017:47
4Lexington42028:86
5Union Omaha420210:126
6Forward Madison41036:103
7Fort Wayne40046:121
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hartford Athletic43018:310
2Rhode Island43017:37
3Brooklyn FC42029:57
4Portland Hearts of Pine42027:106
5New York Cosmos41035:114
6Westchester SC41036:102
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Charlotte Independence44008:410
2Charleston43019:49
3Pittsburgh Riverhounds42026:38
4Greenville Triumph41034:73
5Loudoun United41034:73
6Richmond Kickers41033:93
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay440010:112
2Miami FC430111:59
3Sporting Jax41033:54
4Sarasota Paradise41032:93
5FC Naples41033:92