Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Orange County SC vs Colorado Springs

USA USA

USL Cup Championship Soccer Stadium, Irvine, CA
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Foster I.
46'
Sub
Foster I. In: Lacroix D.
Out: Foster I.
46'
Sub
Metusala G. In: Mahoney M.
Out: Metusala G.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-3. The second leg ended 0-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Orange County SC
30%
Draws
58%
Colorado Springs
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Colorado Springs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Colorado Springs carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Colorado Springs taking it.
  • Colorado Springs arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Orange County SC, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Orange County SC Clean Sheet 10%
Colorado Springs Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orange County SC Colorado Springs
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 17
Draws 8 4
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.33 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 USL Cup
Orange County SC vs Colorado Springs
0:3
May 9, 2026 USL Championship
Colorado Springs vs Orange County SC
2:2
Mar 22, 2026 USL Championship
Orange County SC vs Colorado Springs
1:0
Aug 17, 2025 USL Championship
Colorado Springs vs Orange County SC
0:1
May 25, 2025 USL Championship
Orange County SC vs Colorado Springs
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orange County SC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Colorado Springs Compare

Top Goalscorer Rocha A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Masereka S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orange County SC 10 / 100
Colorado Springs 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orange County SC Colorado Springs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colorado Springs Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orange County SC scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Colorado Springs let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Orange County SC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Orange County SC VS Colorado Springs
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Orange County SC

(Home)
19 Sept
Lexington
6 : 0
Orange County SC
13 Sept
Orange County SC
0 : 2
Las Vegas Lights
06 Sept
Orange County SC
1 : 1
Sacramento Republic
30 Aug
Oakland Roots
1 : 1
Orange County SC
23 Aug
Orange County SC
1 : 5
FC Tulsa
Page 1 of 6

Colorado Springs

(Away)
20 Sept
Colorado Springs
0 : 0
New Mexico
12 Sept
Colorado Springs
2 : 1
San Antonio FC
08 Sept
Hartford Athletic
2 : 1
Colorado Springs
04 Sept
Loudoun United
4 : 5
Colorado Springs
29 Aug
Lexington
0 : 1
Colorado Springs
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spokane Velocity 4 3 0 1 6:6 9
2 Sacramento Republic 4 3 0 1 7:3 8
3 Athletic Club Boise 4 3 0 1 9:6 8
4 Oakland Roots 4 1 0 3 4:6 4
5 Las Vegas Lights 4 1 0 3 4:7 4
6 Monterey Bay 4 1 0 3 8:10 3
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colorado Springs 4 4 0 0 10:1 12
2 New Mexico 4 3 0 1 8:5 9
3 El Paso Locomotive 4 2 0 2 5:5 6
4 AV Alta FC 4 2 0 2 5:6 6
5 Phoenix Rising 4 1 0 3 3:8 3
6 Orange County SC 4 0 0 4 3:9 0
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Antonio FC 4 4 0 0 6:1 11
2 Birmingham Legion 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
3 One Knoxville 4 3 0 1 6:4 6
4 FC Tulsa 4 1 0 3 4:7 4
5 Corpus Christi FC 4 1 0 3 2:6 4
6 Chattanooga Red Wolves 4 0 0 4 2:7 2
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Louisville City 4 4 0 0 13:4 11
2 Detroit City 4 2 0 2 4:4 8
3 Indy Eleven 4 3 0 1 7:4 7
4 Lexington 4 2 0 2 8:8 6
5 Union Omaha 4 2 0 2 10:12 6
6 Forward Madison 4 1 0 3 6:10 3
7 Fort Wayne 4 0 0 4 6:12 1
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hartford Athletic 4 3 0 1 8:3 10
2 Rhode Island 4 3 0 1 7:3 7
3 Brooklyn FC 4 2 0 2 9:5 7
4 Portland Hearts of Pine 4 2 0 2 7:10 6
5 New York Cosmos 4 1 0 3 5:11 4
6 Westchester SC 4 1 0 3 6:10 2
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Charlotte Independence 4 4 0 0 8:4 10
2 Charleston 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
3 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 4 2 0 2 6:3 8
4 Greenville Triumph 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
5 Loudoun United 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
6 Richmond Kickers 4 1 0 3 3:9 3
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 4 4 0 0 10:1 12
2 Miami FC 4 3 0 1 11:5 9
3 Sporting Jax 4 1 0 3 3:5 4
4 Sarasota Paradise 4 1 0 3 2:9 3
5 FC Naples 4 1 0 3 3:9 2
6 South Georgia Tormenta 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - USL Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams