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Orapa United vs Calendar Stars

Botswana Botswana

Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Orapa United and Calendar Stars finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Orapa United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Orapa United
30%
Draws
23%
Calendar Stars
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Orapa United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Orapa United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Orapa United's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Orapa United Clean Sheet 20%
Calendar Stars Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orapa United Calendar Stars
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 5
Draws 11 6
Losses 6 19
Goals Scored 1.24 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Premier League
Calendar Stars vs Orapa United
0:1
Nov 29, 2025 Premier League
Orapa United vs Calendar Stars
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orapa United 85 / 100
Calendar Stars 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orapa United Calendar Stars

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Orapa United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orapa United scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Calendar Stars let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Orapa United went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Orapa United VS Calendar Stars
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Orapa United

(Home)
19 Sept
Police XI
0 : 0
Orapa United
12 Sept
Orapa United
0 : 1
Tafic FC
29 Aug
Orapa United
1 : 1
Enesia
23 May
Orapa United
1 : 0
Nico United
13 May
Orapa United
0 : 0
Police XI
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Calendar Stars

(Away)
23 May
Tafic FC
3 : 1
Calendar Stars
13 May
Gaborone Utd
5 : 0
Calendar Stars
05 May
Calendar Stars
3 : 0
Extension Gunners
25 Apr
Black Lions
2 : 1
Calendar Stars
15 Apr
Jwaneng Galaxy
3 : 2
Calendar Stars
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaborone Utd 30 23 5 2 62:15 74
2 Jwaneng Galaxy 30 17 8 5 55:23 59
3 Sua Flamingoes 30 18 5 7 44:30 59
4 Centre Chiefs 30 16 8 6 37:18 56
5 Morupule 30 14 5 11 41:33 47
6 Orapa United 30 12 11 7 35:30 47
7 Township Rollers 30 13 6 11 33:33 45
8 Nico United 30 10 12 8 28:25 42
9 Tafic FC 30 8 11 11 27:26 35
10 Matebele 30 8 9 13 29:37 33
11 Police XI 30 7 11 12 17:29 32
12 BDF XI 30 7 9 14 30:42 30
13 Extension Gunners 30 7 8 15 26:43 29
14 Black Lions 30 7 6 17 17:38 27
15 Santa Green 30 6 4 20 23:58 22
16 Calendar Stars 30 5 6 19 19:43 21
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)