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Orapa United vs Matebele

Botswana Botswana

Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Orapa United
20%
Draws
30%
Matebele
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Orapa United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Orapa United have won more games recently than Matebele.
  • Win probability leans Orapa United's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Orapa United Clean Sheet 20%
Matebele Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orapa United Matebele
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 10 9
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.29 0.76
Goals Conceded 1 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Premier League
Orapa United vs Matebele
1:1
Sep 17, 2025 Premier League
Matebele vs Orapa United
0:3
Mar 1, 2025 Premier League
Orapa United vs Matebele
2:2
Dec 4, 2024 Premier League
Matebele vs Orapa United
0:1
May 8, 2024 Premier League
Orapa United vs Matebele
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orapa United 49 / 100
Matebele 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orapa United Matebele

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Orapa United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orapa United's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Matebele conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Orapa United has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Orapa United VS Matebele
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Orapa United

(Home)
12 Sept
Orapa United
0 : 1
Tafic FC
29 Aug
Orapa United
1 : 1
Enesia
23 May
Orapa United
1 : 0
Nico United
13 May
Orapa United
0 : 0
Police XI
05 May
Santa Green
1 : 0
Orapa United
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Matebele

(Away)
12 Sept
Enesia
1 : 0
Matebele
05 Sept
Matebele
0 : 1
Police XI
29 Aug
Sua Flamingoes
1 : 0
Matebele
22 May
Matebele
1 : 2
Sua Flamingoes
12 May
Matebele
1 : 0
Township Rollers
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaborone Utd 30 23 5 2 62:15 74
2 Jwaneng Galaxy 30 17 8 5 55:23 59
3 Sua Flamingoes 30 18 5 7 44:30 59
4 Centre Chiefs 30 16 8 6 37:18 56
5 Morupule 30 14 5 11 41:33 47
6 Orapa United 30 12 11 7 35:30 47
7 Township Rollers 30 13 6 11 33:33 45
8 Nico United 30 10 12 8 28:25 42
9 Tafic FC 30 8 11 11 27:26 35
10 Matebele 30 8 9 13 29:37 33
11 Police XI 30 7 11 12 17:29 32
12 BDF XI 30 7 9 14 30:42 30
13 Extension Gunners 30 7 8 15 26:43 29
14 Black Lions 30 7 6 17 17:38 27
15 Santa Green 30 6 4 20 23:58 22
16 Calendar Stars 30 5 6 19 19:43 21
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)