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Orapa United vs Police XI

Botswana Botswana

Premier League
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AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Orapa United and Police XI finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Orapa United
33%
Draws
27%
Police XI
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Orapa United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Orapa United come out ahead of Police XI on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Orapa United taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Orapa United Clean Sheet 20%
Police XI Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orapa United Police XI
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 11 11
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Premier League
Orapa United vs Police XI
0:0
Aug 17, 2025 Premier League
Police XI vs Orapa United
0:0
Apr 6, 2024 Premier League
Police XI vs Orapa United
0:2
Nov 24, 2023 Premier League
Orapa United vs Police XI
1:1
May 10, 2023 Premier League
Police XI vs Orapa United
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orapa United 40 / 100
Police XI 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orapa United Police XI

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ORA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orapa United scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Orapa United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Police XI's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Orapa United VS Police XI
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gaborone Utd30235262:1574
2Jwaneng Galaxy30178555:2359
3Sua Flamingoes30185744:3059
4Centre Chiefs30168637:1856
5Morupule301451141:3347
6Orapa United301211735:3047
7Township Rollers301361133:3345
8Nico United301012828:2542
9Tafic FC308111127:2635
10Matebele30891329:3733
11Police XI307111217:2932
12BDF XI30791430:4230
13Extension Gunners30781526:4329
14Black Lions30761717:3827
15Santa Green30642023:5822
16Calendar Stars30561919:4321