Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Orbi vs Guria

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 Grigol Jomartidze Stadium, Khashuri
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Kokosadze L.
66'
Tchamba C.
87' Event
Kharaishvili N.

AI Match Summary

Guria in this Liga 3 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Orbi
15%
Draws
67%
Guria
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Guria lately — more wins on the board than Orbi.
  • Win probability leans Guria's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Orbi Clean Sheet 10%
Guria Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orbi Guria
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 19
Draws 5 3
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.69 2.67
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2026 Liga 3
Orbi vs Guria
1:2
Nov 14, 2024 Liga 3
Guria vs Orbi
0:4
May 23, 2024 Liga 3
Orbi vs Guria
4:1
Oct 5, 2023 Liga 3
Guria vs Orbi
2:1
May 9, 2023 Liga 3
Orbi vs Guria
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orbi Compare

Top Goalscorer Kharaishvili N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Guria Compare

Top Goalscorer Kokosadze L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chotalishvili T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orbi 10 / 100
Guria 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orbi Guria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Orbi scored in 88% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Defensive concern: Guria conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Orbi has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Orbi VS Guria
1.75 Goals Scored 2.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Orbi

(Home)
17 Sept
Locomotive Tbilisi
2 : 0
Orbi
10 Sept
Orbi
2 : 2
Iveria Khashuri
03 Sept
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi
3 : 2
Orbi
27 Aug
Orbi
1 : 0
Khobi
20 Aug
Margveti 2006
2 : 1
Orbi
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Guria

(Away)
17 Sept
Guria
2 : 0
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
10 Sept
FC Gardabani
0 : 5
Guria
03 Sept
Guria
2 : 0
Gonio
27 Aug
Betlemi Keda
0 : 5
Guria
21 Aug
Guria
2 : 0
Iberia 1999 2
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guria 22 16 3 3 63:11 51
2 FC Tbilisi 2025 22 14 7 1 54:14 49
3 Iberia 1999 2 22 11 8 3 34:16 41
4 Merani Tbilisi 22 11 6 5 37:27 39
5 Gonio 22 11 5 6 32:22 38
6 WIT Georgia 22 10 5 7 35:25 35
7 Orbi 22 10 4 8 36:25 34
8 Didube 22 9 7 6 34:28 34
9 Dinamo Tbilisi 2 22 9 5 8 34:30 32
10 Margveti 2006 22 9 3 10 30:35 30
11 Locomotive Tbilisi 22 7 7 8 27:28 28
12 Khobi 22 6 3 13 28:45 21
13 FC Gardabani 22 4 4 14 18:53 16
14 Iveria Khashuri 22 1 10 11 22:46 13
15 Betlemi Keda 22 3 4 15 13:54 13
16 FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 22 2 5 15 18:56 11
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)