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Ordabasy vs Altai - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan Cup Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov, Šymkent
Ordabasy Logo

Ordabasy

3 - 1
FT
Altai Logo

Altai

Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Mitrofanov D.
22' Event
Leo Natel
Assist: Johnsen B.
34'
Vakulko Y.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Ordabasy
15%
Draws
28%
Altai
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ordabasy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Altai haven't matched Ordabasy's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Ordabasy's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Ordabasy have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ordabasy, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ordabasy have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Ordabasy Clean Sheet 20%
Altai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ordabasy Altai
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 23 9
Draws 3 6
Losses 3 14
Goals Scored 2.07 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.69 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 Kazakhstan Cup
Altai vs Ordabasy
1:2
Aug 15, 2026 Premier League
Ordabasy vs Altai
3:1
Jul 15, 2026 Kazakhstan Cup
Ordabasy vs Altai
3:1
May 10, 2026 Premier League
Altai vs Ordabasy
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ordabasy Compare

Top Goalscorer Leo Natel
1 Goals
Assists Leader Johnsen B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Altai Compare

Top Goalscorer Podstrelov D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ordabasy 67 / 100
Altai 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ordabasy Altai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ordabasy Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ordabasy's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Altai's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Ordabasy has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ordabasy VS Altai
2.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ordabasy

(Home)
17 Sept
Atyrau
0 : 3
Ordabasy
12 Sept
Ordabasy
1 : 0
FC Astana
05 Sept
Okzhetpes
2 : 1
Ordabasy
29 Aug
Ordabasy
3 : 0
Kyzylzhar
19 Aug
Altai
1 : 2
Ordabasy
Page 1 of 6

Altai

(Away)
18 Sept
Altai
1 : 2
Ertis Pavlodar
13 Sept
Ulytau
0 : 3
Altai
06 Sept
Altai
2 : 0
Kaisar Kyzylorda
29 Aug
Zhenis
1 : 0
Altai
19 Aug
Altai
1 : 2
Ordabasy
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Akademiya Ontustik 2
Ordabasy 4
FC Ekibastuz 0
Kaspij Aktau 4
Jas Qyran 0
Atyrau 4
Karshiga Almaty 0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan 1
Arys 0
Aktobe 4
Turan 1
Yelimay Semey 4
Jelaev Nan 0
Altai 2
Taraz 0
Ulytau 1
Talas 0
Kaisar Kyzylorda 2
Jaiyq 1
Kairat Almaty 3
BKS 1
FC Astana 2
Ansat 0
Tobol 8
Shakhter Karagandy 2
Okzhetpes 3
Chromtau 1
Zhenis 4
SD Family -
Ertis Pavlodar -
Khan Tengri 0
Kyzylzhar 1
1/8-finals
Ordabasy 3
Kaspij Aktau 0
Atyrau 0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan 2
Aktobe 2
Yelimay Semey 1
Altai 4
Ulytau 3
Kaisar Kyzylorda 2
Kairat Almaty 1
FC Astana 1
Tobol 2
Okzhetpes 2
Zhenis 3
Ertis Pavlodar 1
Kyzylzhar 2
Quarter-finals
Ordabasy 1
Zhetysu Taldykorgan 0
Aktobe 1
Altai 2
Kaisar Kyzylorda 2
Tobol 1
Zhenis 2
Kyzylzhar 0
Semi-finals
Ordabasy 5
Altai 2
Kaisar Kyzylorda 5
Zhenis 4
Final
Ordabasy -
Kaisar Kyzylorda -