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Ordino vs Carroi

Andorra Andorra

Primera Divisió 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Hasni A.
13'
Sub
Garzon M. In: Tijan M.
Out: Garzon M.
25' Event
Martinez J.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Divisió 2025/2026 game between Ordino and Carroi finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ordino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Ordino
20%
Draws
23%
Carroi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ordino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ordino come out ahead of Carroi on wins alone.
  • Model gives Ordino a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera Divisió 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Ordino Clean Sheet 68%
Carroi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ordino Carroi
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 9 4
Draws 3 7
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.27 0.61
Goals Conceded 1.77 2.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Primera Divisió
Ordino vs Carroi
5:0
Dec 20, 2025 Primera Divisió
Carroi vs Ordino
3:1
Nov 9, 2025 Primera Divisió
Ordino vs Carroi
3:1
May 19, 2024 Primera Divisió
Ordino vs Carroi
1:1
Feb 18, 2024 Primera Divisió
Carroi vs Ordino
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ordino Compare

Top Goalscorer Hasni A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martinez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Carroi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ordino 95 / 100
Carroi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ordino Carroi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ordino Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Ordino scored in 62% of their last 26 outings.

Defensive concern: Carroi conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Ordino has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ordino VS Carroi
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ordino

(Home)
13 Sept
Ordino
3 : 2
Casa de Portugal
06 Sept
Sporting Escaldes
1 : 2
Ordino
16 May
Ordino
2 : 2
Esperanca
10 May
FC Santa Coloma
0 : 1
Ordino
26 Apr
Ordino
0 : 1
Penya
Page 1 of 6

Carroi

(Away)
19 Sept
Carroi
2 : 2
Penya
13 Sept
Inter Escaldes
3 : 0
Carroi
05 Sept
Carroi
0 : 3
FC Santa Coloma
16 May
Carroi
2 : 1
Inter Escaldes
26 Apr
Atletic Escaldes
3 : 0
Carroi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter Escaldes 24 17 3 4 47:24 54
2 UE Santa Coloma 24 14 6 4 42:16 48
3 FC Rangers 24 15 3 6 46:22 48
4 FC Santa Coloma 24 13 5 6 45:20 44
5 Atletic Escaldes 24 10 4 10 31:26 34
6 Penya 24 7 3 14 19:41 24
7 Ordino 24 6 4 14 27:42 22
8 Carroi 24 4 5 15 15:55 17
9 Esperanca 24 3 5 16 18:44 14
10 Pas de la Casa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Primera Divisió 2025/2026 (Relegation)