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Orebro Syrianska vs Nacka FC

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Svealand Mellringe IP
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Ihlen O.
80' Event
Alabed O.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Södra Svealand game between Orebro Syrianska and Nacka FC finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Orebro Syrianska.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Orebro Syrianska
6%
Draws
4%
Nacka FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Orebro Syrianska

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Nacka FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Orebro Syrianska are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Orebro Syrianska Clean Sheet 20%
Nacka FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orebro Syrianska Nacka FC
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 4 2
Losses 17 19
Goals Scored 1.5 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.75 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Orebro Syrianska vs Nacka FC
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orebro Syrianska Compare

Top Goalscorer Ihlen O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alabed O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Nacka FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orebro Syrianska 85 / 100
Nacka FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orebro Syrianska Nacka FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ORE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Nacka FC conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Nacka FC's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Orebro Syrianska found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

Orebro Syrianska VS Nacka FC
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.63
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nykopings1492327:1229
2Forward1492329:1829
3Haninge1491436:2628
4Farsta1481530:1725
5Sleipner1474326:2625
6Smedby1472529:2123
7Ragsved1464430:2322
8Fittja IF1462627:2720
9Orebro Syrianska1451816:1616
10Lindo FF1451821:2316
11Eker Orebro1442817:3614
12Karlslund1434715:2313
13Syrianska1433820:3512
14Nacka FC14211113:337