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Orebro Syrianska vs Nacka FC

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Svealand Mellringe IP, Örebro
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Ihlen O.
80' Event
Alabed O.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Södra Svealand game between Orebro Syrianska and Nacka FC finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Orebro Syrianska.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Orebro Syrianska
30%
Draws
33%
Nacka FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Orebro Syrianska

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Nacka FC's 1.24 goals per match outpaces what Orebro Syrianska have produced (1.15).
  • Orebro Syrianska are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Orebro Syrianska Clean Sheet 19%
Nacka FC Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orebro Syrianska Nacka FC
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 5 3
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.15 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.37 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Nacka FC vs Orebro Syrianska
1:0
May 3, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Orebro Syrianska vs Nacka FC
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orebro Syrianska Compare

Top Goalscorer Ihlen O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alabed O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Nacka FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orebro Syrianska 58 / 100
Nacka FC 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orebro Syrianska Nacka FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Orebro Syrianska Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Nacka FC conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Orebro Syrianska remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Orebro Syrianska found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (27 games).

Scoring Trends

Orebro Syrianska VS Nacka FC
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Orebro Syrianska

(Home)
04 Oct
Orebro Syrianska
2 : 2
Haninge
26 Sept
Ragsved
2 : 2
Orebro Syrianska
19 Sept
Orebro Syrianska
1 : 0
Nykopings
12 Sept
Karlslund
0 : 3
Orebro Syrianska
05 Sept
Orebro Syrianska
1 : 3
Sleipner
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Nacka FC

(Away)
04 Oct
Nacka FC
1 : 4
Karlslund
26 Sept
Fittja IF
1 : 2
Nacka FC
19 Sept
Nacka FC
1 : 0
Ragsved
12 Sept
Sleipner
1 : 0
Nacka FC
05 Sept
Nacka FC
1 : 1
Smedby
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Farsta 24 14 4 6 49:26 46
2 Sleipner 24 13 6 5 49:36 45
3 Forward 24 13 5 6 45:29 44
4 Nykopings 24 13 4 7 39:23 43
5 Haninge 24 13 4 7 58:45 43
6 Ragsved 24 11 6 7 45:37 39
7 Smedby 24 10 6 8 41:33 36
8 Fittja IF 24 10 3 11 37:38 33
9 Karlslund 24 8 7 9 37:38 31
10 Orebro Syrianska 24 8 4 12 27:29 28
11 Syrianska 24 7 5 12 38:52 26
12 Nacka FC 24 7 3 14 26:45 24
13 Lindo FF 24 6 2 16 32:50 20
14 Eker Orebro 24 4 3 17 29:71 15
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Svealand (Relegation)