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Orebro vs Brage

World World

Club Friendly
Sat, Mar 28, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Orebro host Brage in the Club Friendly. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Brage have shipped 2 goals a game lately, while Orebro have conceded 1.88 and scored 1.38. Past meetings favor Brage slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 8, 2026, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.88) point toward Brage. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Orebro
40%
Draws
29%
Brage
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Brage carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Orebro Clean Sheet 10%
Brage Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orebro Brage
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 9 13
Draws 9 5
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.88 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Superettan
Orebro vs Brage
0:3
Mar 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Orebro vs Brage
0:0
Mar 7, 2026 Svenska Cupen
Brage vs Orebro
2:1
Sep 20, 2025 Superettan
Brage vs Orebro
4:5
May 30, 2025 Superettan
Orebro vs Brage
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orebro 30 / 100
Brage 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orebro Brage

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Orebro's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Brage conceded in 78% of 27 recent games.

Orebro went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Orebro VS Brage
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Orebro

(Home)
27 Jul
Orebro
0 : 0
Oddevold
19 Jul
Nordic United
2 : 0
Orebro
11 Jul
Ostersund
2 : 4
Orebro
27 Jun
Ljungskile
3 : 2
Orebro
22 Jun
Orebro
1 : 1
Sandviken
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Brage

(Away)
25 Jul
Varnamo
0 : 0
Brage
18 Jul
Oster
3 : 2
Brage
26 Jun
Brage
2 : 4
Falkenberg
21 Jun
Brage
5 : 1
Varnamo
14 Jun
Sandviken
3 : 2
Brage
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