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Orebro vs Gefle

World World

Club Friendly
Sat, Feb 14, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Orebro host Gefle in the Club Friendly. This one's hard to separate. Orebro have averaged 1.43 scored and 1.57 conceded recently, against Gefle's 1.67 scored and 1.89 conceded. Past meetings favor Orebro slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 14, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.63 - 1.25) back Orebro to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Orebro
15%
Draws
51%
Gefle
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gefle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gefle lately — more wins on the board than Orebro.
  • Model gives Orebro a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Orebro Clean Sheet 19%
Gefle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orebro Gefle
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 9 10
Draws 8 2
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.43 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Orebro vs Gefle
0:0
Aug 17, 2024 Superettan
Orebro vs Gefle
4:1
May 26, 2024 Superettan
Gefle vs Orebro
3:1
Mar 3, 2024 Svenska Cupen
Gefle vs Orebro
1:2
Aug 19, 2023 Superettan
Gefle vs Orebro
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orebro 42 / 100
Gefle 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orebro Gefle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gefle has conceded goals in 85% of their last 27 outings.

Orebro found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Gefle's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Orebro VS Gefle
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Orebro

(Home)
10 Aug
Norrby
3 : 1
Orebro
03 Aug
Orebro
1 : 3
Varnamo
27 Jul
Orebro
0 : 0
Oddevold
19 Jul
Nordic United
2 : 0
Orebro
11 Jul
Ostersund
2 : 4
Orebro
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Gefle

(Away)
08 Aug
IFK Stocksund
5 : 0
Gefle
01 Aug
Pitea
0 : 2
Gefle
27 Jun
Gefle
2 : 1
IFK Stocksund
18 Jun
Gefle
0 : 2
FC Stockholm Internazionale
13 Jun
Karlstad
2 : 0
Gefle
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