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Orebro vs Ljungskile Prediction & H2H Stats

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Behrn Arena, Örebro
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Orebro host Ljungskile in the Superettan. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Orebro at 1.34 goals for, 1.55 against; Ljungskile at 1.31 for, 1.34 against. Head-to-head, Orebro have won 4 to Ljungskile's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Jun 27, 2026, ending 3:2. xG projections (1.56 - 1.25) back Orebro to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Orebro
30%
Draws
31%
Ljungskile
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Orebro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ljungskile come out ahead of Orebro on wins alone.
  • Orebro are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Superettan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Orebro here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Orebro Clean Sheet 19%
Ljungskile Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orebro Ljungskile
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.34 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Superettan
Ljungskile vs Orebro
3:2
Nov 2, 2013 Superettan
Ljungskile vs Orebro
0:1
Jun 26, 2013 Superettan
Orebro vs Ljungskile
1:0
May 11, 2011 Svenska Cupen
Ljungskile vs Orebro
2:3
Nov 9, 2008 Allsvenskan
Orebro vs Ljungskile
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orebro 49 / 100
Ljungskile 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orebro Ljungskile

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Orebro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Orebro scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Ljungskile's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Orebro remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Orebro VS Ljungskile
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Orebro

(Home)
19 Sept
Sandviken
4 : 2
Orebro
14 Sept
Orebro
1 : 1
Nordic United
10 Sept
Sundsvall
0 : 3
Orebro
07 Sept
Orebro
0 : 1
Ostersund
01 Sept
Helsingborg
1 : 1
Orebro
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Ljungskile

(Away)
20 Sept
Sundsvall
3 : 2
Ljungskile
13 Sept
Ljungskile
0 : 2
Falkenberg
09 Sept
Ljungskile
2 : 1
Norrby
04 Sept
Norrkoping
2 : 2
Ljungskile
29 Aug
Ljungskile
0 : 1
Varnamo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 25 17 4 4 48:16 55
2 Falkenberg 25 13 6 6 46:33 45
3 Varberg 25 13 5 7 44:33 44
4 Ostersund 25 11 10 4 33:24 43
5 Landskrona 25 11 7 7 39:26 40
6 Sandviken 25 10 7 8 43:33 37
7 Oddevold 25 9 9 7 38:34 36
8 Oster 25 11 3 11 38:38 36
9 Nordic United 25 9 9 7 38:40 36
10 Helsingborg 25 8 6 11 36:45 30
11 Varnamo 25 8 5 12 33:45 29
12 Ljungskile 25 6 7 12 31:38 25
13 Norrby 25 4 12 9 28:35 24
14 Orebro 25 5 9 11 27:39 24
15 Brage 25 5 8 12 39:48 23
16 Sundsvall 25 6 1 18 19:53 19
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)