Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Orebro host Varnamo in the Superettan. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Orebro have averaged 1.5 scored and 2.13 conceded recently, against Varnamo's 0.5 scored and 2.5 conceded. Past meetings favor Orebro slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 12, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (2.00 xG vs 1.31) point toward Orebro. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Orebro have won more games recently than Varnamo.
- Model gives Orebro a 90% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Orebro have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Orebro | Varnamo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 5 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.13 | 2.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 0.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.13 | 2.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Varnamo let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.
Orebro scored in 77% of their last 26 games.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Orebro remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Orebro
(Home)Varnamo
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Varberg | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32:19 | 30 |
| 2 | Norrkoping | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 26:10 | 29 |
| 3 | Falkenberg | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 30:23 | 28 |
| 4 | Landskrona | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 22:16 | 25 |
| 5 | Ostersund | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 24:19 | 25 |
| 6 | Nordic United | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:22 | 25 |
| 7 | Oster | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 24:25 | 23 |
| 8 | Helsingborg | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 29:31 | 23 |
| 9 | Oddevold | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 28:26 | 20 |
| 10 | Sandviken | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 24:23 | 19 |
| 11 | Ljungskile | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 21:20 | 19 |
| 12 | Brage | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 28:29 | 17 |
| 13 | Norrby | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 19:21 | 17 |
| 14 | Orebro | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 13:22 | 14 |
| 15 | Varnamo | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 17:34 | 11 |
| 16 | Sundsvall | 15 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 12:34 | 9 |
