Sport Picks
Match Events
2'
2'
Wiedesheim-Paul R.
Assist: Holmberg K.
46'
46'
Sub
Kusu M. In: Ibrahimbegovic E.
Out: Kusu M.
49'
49'
Bjornstrom A.
AI Match Summary
Varnamo in this Superettan matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Varnamo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Orebro average 1.32 goals a game right now, well clear of Varnamo's 1.24.
- Model gives Orebro a 33% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Orebro have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Orebro Clean Sheet 11%
Varnamo Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Orebro | Varnamo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 8 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.46 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 3, 2026 Superettan
Orebro vs Varnamo
1:3
May 12, 2026 Superettan
Varnamo vs Orebro
0:1
Mar 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Varnamo vs Orebro
0:3
Aug 2, 2013 Superettan
Varnamo vs Orebro
0:5
Apr 8, 2013 Superettan
Orebro vs Varnamo
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Orebro Compare
Top Goalscorer Wiedesheim-Paul R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Varnamo Compare
Top Goalscorer Bjornstrom A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Claesson V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Orebro 38 / 100
Varnamo 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Orebro Varnamo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Orebro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Varnamo let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.
Orebro scored in 75% of their last 28 games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Orebro remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Orebro VS Varnamo
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Orebro
(Home) 14 Sept
Orebro
1 : 1 Nordic United
10 Sept
Sundsvall
0 : 3 Orebro
07 Sept
Orebro
0 : 1 Ostersund
01 Sept
Helsingborg
1 : 1 Orebro
25 Aug
Orebro
2 : 1 Varberg
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Orebro
1 : 1 Nordic United
07 Sept
Orebro
0 : 1 Ostersund
25 Aug
Orebro
2 : 1 Varberg
03 Aug
Orebro
1 : 3 Varnamo
27 Jul
Orebro
0 : 0 Oddevold
Page 1 of 3
Varnamo
(Away) 15 Sept
Varnamo
1 : 3 Oster
09 Sept
Nordic United
2 : 4 Varnamo
05 Sept
Varnamo
1 : 1 Varberg
29 Aug
Ljungskile
0 : 1 Varnamo
24 Aug
Varnamo
1 : 1 Landskrona
Page 1 of 6
09 Sept
Nordic United
2 : 4 Varnamo
29 Aug
Ljungskile
0 : 1 Varnamo
19 Aug
Vaxjo Norra
1 : 3 Varnamo
11 Aug
Helsingborg
1 : 2 Varnamo
03 Aug
Orebro
1 : 3 Varnamo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Norrkoping | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 48:16 | 55 |
| 2 | Falkenberg | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 46:33 | 45 |
| 3 | Varberg | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 44:33 | 44 |
| 4 | Ostersund | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 33:24 | 43 |
| 5 | Landskrona | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 39:26 | 40 |
| 6 | Sandviken | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 43:33 | 37 |
| 7 | Oddevold | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 38:34 | 36 |
| 8 | Oster | 25 | 11 | 3 | 11 | 38:38 | 36 |
| 9 | Nordic United | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 38:40 | 36 |
| 10 | Helsingborg | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 36:45 | 29 |
| 11 | Varnamo | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 33:45 | 29 |
| 12 | Ljungskile | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 29:35 | 25 |
| 13 | Orebro | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 27:39 | 24 |
| 14 | Norrby | 24 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 28:35 | 23 |
| 15 | Brage | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 39:48 | 23 |
| 16 | Sundsvall | 24 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 16:51 | 16 |
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
