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Orenburg vs Bunyodkor

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Thompson J.
32' Event
Thompson J.
54' Event
Gurluk E.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Orenburg in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Orenburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Orenburg
30%
Draws
0%
Bunyodkor
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Orenburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Bunyodkor haven't matched Orenburg's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Orenburg a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Orenburg Clean Sheet 19%
Bunyodkor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orenburg Bunyodkor
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 9 2
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.19 1
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2026 Club Friendly
Orenburg vs Bunyodkor
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orenburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Thompson J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Alexandre Jesus
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Bunyodkor Compare

Top Goalscorer Pletnev D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orenburg 85 / 100
Bunyodkor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orenburg Bunyodkor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Orenburg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Bunyodkor lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Orenburg scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Bunyodkor conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Orenburg VS Bunyodkor
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Orenburg

(Home)
17 Sept
Orenburg
0 : 0
Krasnodar
12 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
1 : 0
Orenburg
06 Sept
Orenburg
2 : 2
Akron Togliatti
02 Sept
Orenburg
1 : 2
Rubin Kazan
30 Aug
Spartak Moscow
1 : 1
Orenburg
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Bunyodkor

(Away)
15 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1
Lok. Tashkent
09 Sept
Nasaf Qarshi
3 : 0
Bunyodkor
04 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1
Termez Surkhon
26 Aug
Lok. Tashkent
4 : 1
Bunyodkor
20 Aug
Bunyodkor
0 : 1
Kokand 1912
Page 1 of 6