Sport Picks
Orenburg vs Rodina Moscow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Russia
Russian Cup Gazovik Stadium, Orenburg 
AI Match Summary
The first leg ended 1-4. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Rodina Moscow have shipped 1.89 goals a game lately, while Orenburg have conceded 1.39 and scored 1.25. Head-to-head, Orenburg have won 1 to Rodina Moscow's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 18, 2026, ending 1:4. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 1.19, favoring Orenburg. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Rodina Moscow come out ahead of Orenburg on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Orenburg's way, sitting at 80%.
- Rodina Moscow arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Orenburg | Rodina Moscow |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 1.89 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rodina Moscow let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.
Orenburg found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).
Games between these two average 2.50 goals.
Orenburg went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Orenburg
(Home)Rodina Moscow
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spartak Moscow | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Rubin Kazan | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:7 | 4 |
| 3 | Orenburg | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Rodina Moscow | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 3 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krasnodar | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Dynamo Moscow | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Akhmat Grozny | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 4 | Fakel Voronezh | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:4 | 1 |
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit St Petersburg | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 8 |
| 2 | Krylya Sovetov Samara | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Baltika | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 4 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | 1 |
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Rostov | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 9 |
| 2 | Akron Togliatti | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 5 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 2 |
| 4 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:2 | 2 |
