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Stadium Background

Orgryte vs Elfsborg

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Gamla Ullevi, Göteborg
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Zeneli A.
(Penalty)
38'
Parker-Price O.
63'
Sub
Parker-Price O. In: Laturnus B.
Out: Parker-Price O.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Allsvenskan matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Orgryte
30%
Draws
34%
Elfsborg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Orgryte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Elfsborg have won more games recently than Orgryte.
  • Win probability leans Orgryte's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Orgryte Clean Sheet 10%
Elfsborg Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orgryte Elfsborg
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 5 10
Draws 10 7
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Allsvenskan
Orgryte vs Elfsborg
2:2
Feb 16, 2025 Svenska Cupen
Elfsborg vs Orgryte
3:1
Feb 24, 2024 Svenska Cupen
Orgryte vs Elfsborg
3:2
Mar 26, 2021 Club Friendly
Elfsborg vs Orgryte
2:0
Feb 10, 2018 Club Friendly
Elfsborg vs Orgryte
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orgryte Compare

Top Goalscorer Christoffersson N.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Elfsborg Compare

Top Goalscorer Zeneli A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orgryte 34 / 100
Elfsborg 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orgryte Elfsborg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Orgryte's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Elfsborg has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Orgryte remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Orgryte VS Elfsborg
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
2.88 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Orgryte

(Home)
20 Jul
Orgryte
0 : 0
Djurgarden
11 Jul
Orgryte
4 : 3
Hacken
05 Jul
Kalmar
3 : 0
Orgryte
25 Jun
Tromso
4 : 1
Orgryte
29 May
Orgryte
2 : 2
Elfsborg
Page 1 of 6

Elfsborg

(Away)
19 Jul
Elfsborg
1 : 3
Sirius
12 Jul
GAIS
1 : 0
Elfsborg
05 Jul
Elfsborg
1 : 2
Hammarby
28 Jun
Fredrikstad
0 : 0
Elfsborg
29 May
Orgryte
2 : 2
Elfsborg
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sirius13112036:1635
2Hammarby1482432:1426
3Hacken1365227:2223
4AIK1363418:1821
5Djurgarden1262426:1520
6Malmo FF1362527:2220
7GAIS1454518:1419
8Vasteras SK1354422:2319
9Elfsborg1446418:1718
10Mjallby1345419:1717
11Brommapojkarna1344518:2116
12Kalmar1342716:1914
13IFK Goteborg1334616:2913
14Degerfors1324712:2310
15Orgryte1324714:3110
16Halmstad1313910:286
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)