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Orientacion Maritima vs Arguineguin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 12 2008/2009
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 12 2008/2009 game between Orientacion Maritima and Arguineguin finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Orientacion Maritima
20%
Draws
30%
Arguineguin
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Orientacion Maritima

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Orientacion Maritima come out ahead of Arguineguin on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Orientacion Maritima's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Orientacion Maritima Clean Sheet 20%
Arguineguin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orientacion Maritima Arguineguin
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 11 7
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.32 1
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Orientacion Maritima vs Arguineguin
2:2
Aug 30, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Arguineguin vs Orientacion Maritima
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orientacion Maritima 40 / 100
Arguineguin 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orientacion Maritima Arguineguin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Orientacion Maritima Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Arguineguin conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Orientacion Maritima scored in 61% of their last 38 outings.

Orientacion Maritima has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Orientacion Maritima VS Arguineguin
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Orientacion Maritima

(Home)
15 May
UD Realejos
2 : 5
Orientacion Maritima
08 May
Orientacion Maritima
1 : 1
Atletico Granadilla
01 May
Victoria CD
1 : 0
Orientacion Maritima
21 Apr
Orientacion Maritima
0 : 0
Las Zocas
17 Apr
Mensajero
6 : 0
Orientacion Maritima
Page 1 of 8

Arguineguin

(Away)
28 Jul
Arguineguin
0 : 1
Las Palmas
17 May
Arguineguin
2 : 3
UD Tegueste
10 May
Tenerife B
1 : 3
Arguineguin
06 May
Arguineguin
0 : 3
Los Llanos
03 May
CD Marino
2 : 0
Arguineguin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tenerife B 38 24 9 5 75:27 81
2 SD Tenisca 38 23 11 4 65:27 80
3 Castillo CF 38 20 9 9 60:32 69
4 Mensajero 38 20 6 12 48:33 66
5 CD Laguna 38 16 11 11 52:33 59
6 Los Llanos 38 14 14 10 57:43 56
7 Galdar 38 14 12 12 40:41 54
8 Atletico Granadilla 38 16 6 16 51:43 54
9 CD Marino 38 15 8 15 45:51 53
10 UD Realejos 38 14 10 14 42:45 52
11 Orientacion Maritima 38 13 11 14 51:52 50
12 Victoria CD 38 13 10 15 48:54 49
13 Univ. Las Palmas B 38 13 7 18 40:52 46
14 Tijarafe 38 11 13 14 44:49 46
15 Las Zocas 38 12 9 17 40:54 45
16 Villa Santa Brigida B 38 8 18 12 42:52 42
17 AD Huracan 38 12 4 22 42:64 40
18 UD Tegueste 38 10 9 19 44:55 39
19 Arguineguin 38 9 8 21 41:67 35
20 CD Teguise 38 6 9 23 31:84 27
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)