Sport Picks
Oriental vs Juv. Evora
Portugal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026 
Match Events
51'
51'
Brandao V.
61'
61'
Mucuana Lobo E. J.
65'
65'
Machado N.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026 game between Oriental and Juv. Evora finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
35%
45%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Juv. Evora
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Juv. Evora carry the better recent record into this one.
- Juv. Evora are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Oriental Clean Sheet 16%
Juv. Evora Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Oriental | Juv. Evora |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 13 |
| Draws | 11 | 11 |
| Losses | 10 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 8, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Oriental vs Juv. Evora
2:2
Nov 2, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Juv. Evora vs Oriental
2:1
Feb 25, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Oriental vs Juv. Evora
1:3
Nov 19, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Juv. Evora vs Oriental
0:0
Jan 22, 2012 Second Division - Zona Sul
Juv. Evora vs Oriental
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Oriental Compare
Top Goalscorer Mucuana Lobo E. J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Juv. Evora Compare
Top Goalscorer Brandao V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Oriental 11 / 100
Juv. Evora 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Oriental Juv. Evora
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Juv. Evora Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Oriental found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).
Juv. Evora has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Solid form: Oriental remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Oriental VS Juv. Evora
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Oriental
(Home) 18 Apr
Oriental
2 : 1 Serpa
12 Apr
GD Alcochetense
1 : 1 Oriental
04 Apr
Oriental
0 : 2 Lagoa
22 Mar
Oriental
1 : 2 Alverca B
15 Mar
O Elvas CAD
0 : 0 Oriental
Page 1 of 6
18 Apr
Oriental
2 : 1 Serpa
04 Apr
Oriental
0 : 2 Lagoa
22 Mar
Oriental
1 : 2 Alverca B
08 Mar
Oriental
2 : 2 Juv. Evora
22 Feb
Oriental
0 : 0 Sintrense
Page 1 of 4
Juv. Evora
(Away) 13 Sept
Vitoria Setubal
2 : 2 Juv. Evora
06 Sept
Juv. Evora
1 : 1 Portel
30 Aug
Uniao Montemor
1 : 4 Juv. Evora
16 Aug
Juv. Evora
3 : 2 GD Alcochetense
18 Apr
Juv. Evora
4 : 1 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Vitoria Setubal
2 : 2 Juv. Evora
30 Aug
Uniao Montemor
1 : 4 Juv. Evora
12 Apr
Moncarapachense
0 : 1 Juv. Evora
22 Mar
Serpa
0 : 3 Juv. Evora
08 Mar
Oriental
2 : 2 Juv. Evora
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Louletano | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 36:15 | 50 |
| 2 | Malveira | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 38:23 | 47 |
| 3 | Alverca B | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 49:32 | 47 |
| 4 | Juv. Evora | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 36:23 | 46 |
| 5 | GD Alcochetense | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 33:22 | 41 |
| 6 | Sintrense | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 30:25 | 40 |
| 7 | Lagoa | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 44:34 | 39 |
| 8 | O Elvas CAD | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 33:29 | 34 |
| 9 | Serpa | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 28:34 | 34 |
| 10 | Oriental | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 29:35 | 32 |
| 11 | Moncarapachense | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 21:21 | 31 |
| 12 | Portimonense B | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 19:42 | 22 |
| 13 | Industria | 26 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 20:45 | 14 |
| 14 | Vasco da Gama Vidigueira | 26 | 1 | 11 | 14 | 20:56 | 14 |
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
