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Oriental vs Real SC

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

85' Event
Fernandes Silva D. C.

AI Match Summary

Oriental in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Oriental.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Oriental
20%
Draws
0%
Real SC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Oriental

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Oriental have won more games recently than Real SC.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Oriental taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Oriental Clean Sheet 15%
Real SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oriental Real SC
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 10 3
Draws 12 5
Losses 12 21
Goals Scored 1.09 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Oriental vs Real SC
1:0
Dec 17, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Real SC vs Oriental
3:0
Feb 21, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group G
Oriental vs Real SC
1:1
Dec 23, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group G
Real SC vs Oriental
1:0
Feb 9, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Oriental vs Real SC
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oriental Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandes Silva D. C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Real SC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oriental 75 / 100
Real SC 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oriental Real SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oriental Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real SC let in goals in 97% of their last 29 matches.

Real SC lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Oriental found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (34 games).

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Oriental VS Real SC
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Oriental

(Home)
18 Apr
Oriental
2 : 1
Serpa
12 Apr
GD Alcochetense
1 : 1
Oriental
04 Apr
Oriental
0 : 2
Lagoa
22 Mar
Oriental
1 : 2
Alverca B
15 Mar
O Elvas CAD
0 : 0
Oriental
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Real SC

(Away)
07 Apr
Oriental
1 : 0
Real SC
24 Mar
Real SC
0 : 2
Juv. Evora
17 Mar
FC Barreirense
4 : 1
Real SC
09 Mar
Sintrense
1 : 0
Real SC
03 Mar
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
1 : 0
Real SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Setubal 26 16 5 5 45:21 53
2 Moncarapachense 26 14 7 5 29:17 49
3 Lusitano GC 26 11 13 2 28:9 46
4 Louletano 26 11 8 7 37:26 41
5 Sintrense 26 10 10 6 29:26 40
6 O Elvas CAD 26 10 9 7 34:27 39
7 FC Barreirense 26 11 6 9 31:25 39
8 Fabril do Barreiro 26 8 10 8 29:24 34
9 Serpa 26 10 4 12 27:30 34
10 Juv. Evora 26 8 8 10 26:25 32
11 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 26 8 6 12 26:45 30
12 Oriental 26 7 8 11 31:48 29
13 Real SC 26 3 5 18 24:46 14
14 Imortal 26 2 7 17 19:46 13
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group 2023/2024 (Main)