Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Oriente Petrolero vs Guabira

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Pacena Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas, Santa Cruz
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Herrera J.
45'
Eguez L.
45' Event
Herrera J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Oriente Petrolero
30%
Draws
16%
Guabira
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Oriente Petrolero

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Oriente Petrolero have won more games recently than Guabira.
  • Model gives Oriente Petrolero a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Oriente Petrolero have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Oriente Petrolero, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Oriente Petrolero Clean Sheet 20%
Guabira Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oriente Petrolero Guabira
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 10
Draws 3 6
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.82 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Copa Pacena
Oriente Petrolero vs Guabira
1:0
May 15, 2026 Division Profesional
Oriente Petrolero vs Guabira
2:2
Nov 3, 2025 Division Profesional
Oriente Petrolero vs Guabira
4:0
Jul 16, 2025 Copa Pacena
Oriente Petrolero vs Guabira
2:1
Jun 26, 2025 Copa Pacena
Guabira vs Oriente Petrolero
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oriente Petrolero 85 / 100
Guabira 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oriente Petrolero Guabira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oriente Petrolero Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Oriente Petrolero scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Guabira conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Oriente Petrolero went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Oriente Petrolero VS Guabira
2.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Oriente Petrolero

(Home)
12 Sept
Real Potosi
2 : 1
Oriente Petrolero
09 Sept
Oriente Petrolero
1 : 0
Guabira
05 Sept
Oriente Petrolero
1 : 2
Always Ready
30 Aug
Blooming
0 : 3
Oriente Petrolero
25 Aug
GV San Jose
3 : 3
Oriente Petrolero
Page 1 of 6

Guabira

(Away)
09 Sept
Oriente Petrolero
1 : 0
Guabira
05 Sept
Guabira
1 : 1
Real Potosi
31 Aug
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
5 : 1
Guabira
27 Aug
Independiente
3 : 1
Guabira
23 Aug
Guabira
1 : 1
Blooming
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurora 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
2 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 3 2 0 1 7:2 6
3 Real Potosi 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
4 Academia del Balompie 3 0 0 3 2:6 0
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nacional Potosi 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 Tomayapo 3 2 0 1 6:5 6
3 Always Ready 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
4 Real Oruro 3 0 0 3 3:10 0
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oriente Petrolero 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
2 The Strongest 3 2 0 1 6:6 6
3 Guabira 3 1 0 2 3:7 3
4 Club Universitario de Vinto 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bolivar 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
2 Independiente 3 1 1 1 6:6 4
3 Blooming 3 1 0 2 7:9 3
4 GV San Jose 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)