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Stadium Background

Oriente Petrolero vs Santa Cruz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bolivia Bolivia

Division Profesional 2024 Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas, Santa Cruz
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Barrios M.
21' Event
Abastoflor C.
Assist: Navarro S.
27'
Pozo S.

AI Match Summary

The Division Profesional 2024 game between Oriente Petrolero and Santa Cruz finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santa Cruz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Oriente Petrolero
15%
Draws
26%
Santa Cruz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Oriente Petrolero

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Oriente Petrolero come out ahead of Santa Cruz on wins alone.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Oriente Petrolero taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Oriente Petrolero Clean Sheet 20%
Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oriente Petrolero Santa Cruz
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 16 6
Draws 6 4
Losses 15 20
Goals Scored 1.59 1
Goals Conceded 1.3 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 26, 2024 Division Profesional
Oriente Petrolero vs Santa Cruz
1:3
Jul 27, 2024 Division Profesional
Santa Cruz vs Oriente Petrolero
0:1
Aug 19, 2023 Division Profesional
Santa Cruz vs Oriente Petrolero
0:5
May 11, 2023 Division Profesional
Oriente Petrolero vs Santa Cruz
0:1
Oct 6, 2022 Division Profesional
Oriente Petrolero vs Santa Cruz
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oriente Petrolero Compare

Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Santa Cruz Compare

Top Goalscorer Abastoflor C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oriente Petrolero 85 / 100
Santa Cruz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oriente Petrolero Santa Cruz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oriente Petrolero Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oriente Petrolero's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

Santa Cruz has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Oriente Petrolero went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Oriente Petrolero VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Oriente Petrolero

(Home)
08 Oct
Oriente Petrolero
2 : 0
Club Universitario de Vinto
04 Oct
Guabira
2 : 1
Oriente Petrolero
01 Oct
Oriente Petrolero
1 : 1
The Strongest
27 Sept
Club Universitario de Vinto
3 : 0
Oriente Petrolero
20 Sept
Oriente Petrolero
3 : 1
Blooming
Page 1 of 8

Santa Cruz

(Away)
20 Dec
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
2 : 3
Santa Cruz
18 Dec
Santa Cruz
1 : 5
Tomayapo
14 Dec
Always Ready
5 : 2
Santa Cruz
11 Dec
Santa Cruz
0 : 1
Blooming
07 Dec
Santa Cruz
0 : 1
Guabira
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bolivar 30 20 7 3 76:25 67
2 The Strongest 30 18 6 6 62:34 60
3 GV San Jose 30 14 6 10 62:40 48
4 Aurora 30 12 12 6 49:40 48
5 Always Ready 30 13 7 10 48:37 46
6 Nacional Potosi 30 13 7 10 52:47 46
7 Blooming 30 13 6 11 36:43 45
8 Jorge Wilstermann 30 11 11 8 35:30 44
9 Tomayapo 30 13 4 13 41:41 43
10 Independiente 30 9 9 12 48:58 36
11 Oriente Petrolero 30 10 5 15 44:58 35
12 Club Universitario de Vinto 30 9 7 14 36:47 34
13 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 30 8 7 15 40:58 31
14 Guabira 30 8 6 16 36:53 30
15 Royal Pari 30 7 8 15 30:46 29
16 Santa Cruz 30 6 4 20 30:68 22
Promotion - Division Profesional 2024 (Super final)