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Orihuela vs Castellon B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Perdomo O.
37' Event
Ferrer M.
48' Event
Perez A.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 3 game between Orihuela and Castellon B finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Castellon B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Orihuela
15%
Draws
64%
Castellon B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Castellon B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Orihuela haven't matched Castellon B's recent run of results.
  • Castellon B are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Orihuela here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Orihuela Clean Sheet 14%
Castellon B Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orihuela Castellon B
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 8 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.21 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Orihuela vs Castellon B
1:4
Feb 19, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Castellon B vs Orihuela
1:3
Oct 16, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Orihuela vs Castellon B
3:0
Apr 17, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Orihuela vs Castellon B
3:2
Dec 11, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Castellon B vs Orihuela
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orihuela Compare

Top Goalscorer Perdomo O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Castellon B Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferrer M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Perez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orihuela 10 / 100
Castellon B 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orihuela Castellon B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castellon B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Castellon B conceded in 81% of 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Orihuela scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Orihuela stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Orihuela VS Castellon B
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Orihuela

(Home)
04 Oct
Orihuela
0 : 4
Ciudad Cieza
26 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 4
Castellon B
20 Sept
Deportiva Minera
2 : 2
Orihuela
16 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 4
Murcia
13 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 0
Lorca Deportiva
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Castellon B

(Away)
03 Oct
Castellon B
2 : 1
Lorca Deportiva
26 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 4
Castellon B
19 Sept
Valencia B
1 : 2
Castellon B
12 Sept
Castellon B
3 : 0
Alcoyano
05 Sept
Castellon B
1 : 2
CF Intercity
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castellon B 5 4 0 1 12:5 12
2 La Nucia 5 4 0 1 9:3 12
3 Castellonense 5 4 0 1 8:3 12
4 Alcoyano 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
5 UCAM Murcia 5 3 0 2 12:6 9
6 CF Intercity 5 2 3 0 7:5 9
7 Ciudad Cieza 5 2 2 1 7:3 8
8 Deportiva Minera 5 2 2 1 5:4 8
9 Yeclano 5 2 2 1 4:3 8
10 Orihuela 5 2 1 2 6:11 7
11 Lorca Deportiva 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
12 Mallorca B 5 1 2 2 2:4 5
13 Baleares 5 1 2 2 6:9 5
14 Valencia B 5 1 1 3 5:7 4
15 Ilicitano 5 1 1 3 3:8 4
16 UD Poblense 5 1 0 4 3:7 3
17 Real Murcia B 5 1 0 4 4:11 3
18 Pena Deportiva 5 0 1 4 3:8 1
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)