Sport Picks
Match Events
58'
58'
Monterde J.
70'
70'
Sanchez A.
79'
79'
Rodriguez M.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
20%
57%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Conquense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Conquense have won more games recently than Orihuela.
- 57% — that's where the model lands on Conquense taking it.
- Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Orihuela Clean Sheet 10%
Conquense Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Orihuela | Conquense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 16 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.79 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 5, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Orihuela vs Conquense
2:2
Dec 6, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Conquense vs Orihuela
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Orihuela Compare
Top Goalscorer Monterde J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Conquense Compare
Top Goalscorer Sanchez A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Orihuela 10 / 100
Conquense 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Orihuela Conquense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Conquense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Orihuela scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
Conquense let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Orihuela went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Orihuela VS Conquense
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Orihuela
(Home) 04 Oct
Orihuela
0 : 4 Ciudad Cieza
26 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 4 Castellon B
20 Sept
Deportiva Minera
2 : 2 Orihuela
16 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 4 Murcia
13 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 0 Lorca Deportiva
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Orihuela
0 : 4 Ciudad Cieza
26 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 4 Castellon B
16 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 4 Murcia
13 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 0 Lorca Deportiva
29 Aug
Orihuela
1 : 1 Valencia B
Page 1 of 3
Conquense
(Away) 04 Oct
Atl. Madrid C
3 : 2 Conquense
27 Sept
Navalcarnero
1 : 3 Conquense
20 Sept
Conquense
1 : 0 Salamanca CF UDS
13 Sept
Gimnastica Segoviana
1 : 2 Conquense
06 Sept
Conquense
2 : 2 Getafe B
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Atl. Madrid C
3 : 2 Conquense
27 Sept
Navalcarnero
1 : 3 Conquense
13 Sept
Gimnastica Segoviana
1 : 2 Conquense
24 May
UD Ourense
1 : 0 Conquense
09 May
Xerez CD
1 : 1 Conquense
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rayo Majadahonda | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 52:23 | 70 |
| 2 | San Sebastian Reyes | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 51:27 | 70 |
| 3 | Conquense | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 42:30 | 60 |
| 4 | Getafe B | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 55:35 | 57 |
| 5 | CD Coria | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 50:38 | 57 |
| 6 | RSD Alcala | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 42:39 | 51 |
| 7 | Tenerife B | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 57:53 | 50 |
| 8 | Orihuela | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 45:43 | 46 |
| 9 | CF Intercity | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42:45 | 43 |
| 10 | Navalcarnero | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 40:42 | 43 |
| 11 | Las Palmas B | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 42:45 | 42 |
| 12 | Ilicitano | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 51:56 | 41 |
| 13 | Real Madrid C | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 42:45 | 40 |
| 14 | Quintanar del Rey | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 36:43 | 39 |
| 15 | CF Fuenlabrada | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 35:44 | 37 |
| 16 | Colonia Moscardo | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37:57 | 34 |
| 17 | Socuellamos | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 34:55 | 31 |
| 18 | Rayo Vallecano B | 34 | 9 | 3 | 22 | 30:63 | 30 |
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)
