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Orihuela vs Conquense

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Monterde J.
70' Event
Sanchez A.
79' Event
Rodriguez M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Orihuela
20%
Draws
38%
Conquense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Orihuela

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Conquense have won more games recently than Orihuela.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Orihuela taking it.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Orihuela Clean Sheet 15%
Conquense Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orihuela Conquense
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 14
Draws 8 11
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Orihuela vs Conquense
2:2
Dec 6, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Conquense vs Orihuela
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orihuela Compare

Top Goalscorer Monterde J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Conquense Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orihuela 41 / 100
Conquense 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orihuela Conquense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orihuela scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Defensive concern: Conquense conceded in 58% of 31 recent games.

Orihuela went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Orihuela VS Conquense
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Orihuela

(Home)
03 May
Orihuela
2 : 1
Getafe B
26 Apr
Las Palmas B
2 : 1
Orihuela
18 Apr
Orihuela
0 : 2
San Sebastian Reyes
11 Apr
Colonia Moscardo
1 : 0
Orihuela
05 Apr
Orihuela
2 : 2
Conquense
Page 1 of 6

Conquense

(Away)
31 May
Conquense
0 : 2
UD Ourense
24 May
UD Ourense
1 : 0
Conquense
17 May
Conquense
0 : 0
Xerez CD
09 May
Xerez CD
1 : 1
Conquense
03 May
Real Madrid C
0 : 1
Conquense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rayo Majadahonda342010452:2370
2San Sebastian Reyes34217651:2770
3Conquense341612642:3060
4Getafe B34169955:3557
5CD Coria34169950:3857
6RSD Alcala341491142:3951
7Tenerife B341551457:5350
8Orihuela3412101245:4346
9CF Intercity3411101342:4543
10Navalcarnero3411101340:4243
11Las Palmas B341191442:4542
12Ilicitano3410111351:5641
13Real Madrid C341171642:4540
14Quintanar del Rey341161736:4339
15CF Fuenlabrada349101535:4437
16Colonia Moscardo34971837:5734
17Socuellamos347101734:5531
18Rayo Vallecano B34932230:6330
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)