Sport Picks
Match Events
14'
14'
Lara J. A.
39'
39'
Lara J. A.
69'
69'
Vilchez P.
AI Match Summary
Orihuela in this Copa Federacion 2025 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
53%
15%
32%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Orihuela
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Orihuela have won more games recently than Huetor Tajar.
- 53% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Orihuela have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Orihuela, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Orihuela Clean Sheet 68%
Huetor Tajar Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Orihuela | Huetor Tajar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.66 | 1.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.96 | 1.71 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 17, 2025 Copa Federacion
Orihuela vs Huetor Tajar
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Orihuela Compare
Top Goalscorer Lara J. A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Yeboah D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.48
Huetor Tajar Compare
Avg xG / game 1.55
Avg xA / game 0.95
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Orihuela 41 / 100
Huetor Tajar 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Orihuela Huetor Tajar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Orihuela Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Huetor Tajar has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.
Attacking prowess: Orihuela scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Orihuela remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Orihuela VS Huetor Tajar
0.75 Goals Scored 1.17
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.17
75% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 17%
Recent Form & Match History
Orihuela
(Home) 20 Sept
Deportiva Minera
2 : 2 Orihuela
16 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 4 Murcia
13 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 0 Lorca Deportiva
08 Sept
UD San Fernando
1 : 3 Orihuela
05 Sept
Real Murcia B
1 : 2 Orihuela
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 4 Murcia
13 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 0 Lorca Deportiva
29 Aug
Orihuela
1 : 1 Valencia B
15 Aug
Orihuela
0 : 1 Ciudad Cieza
03 May
Orihuela
2 : 1 Getafe B
Page 1 of 3
Huetor Tajar
(Away) 10 May
Huetor Tajar
3 : 1 Melilla B
03 May
Martos
1 : 0 Huetor Tajar
26 Apr
Huetor Tajar
0 : 1 Mijas Las Lagunas
19 Apr
Marbelli
2 : 1 Huetor Tajar
11 Apr
Huetor Tajar
2 : 1 Mancha
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Martos
1 : 0 Huetor Tajar
19 Apr
Marbelli
2 : 1 Huetor Tajar
05 Apr
Arenas Armilla
1 : 1 Huetor Tajar
22 Mar
CD Torreperogil
2 : 1 Huetor Tajar
08 Mar
Torre del Mar
1 : 2 Huetor Tajar
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
CE Atletic Lleida 1
Tudelano 0
Formentera 1
SD Ibiza 0
Terrassa 4
Atletico Monzon 0
SD Ejea 2
UE Tona 0
Bergantinos 4
Marino De Luanco 2
Estradense 2
Covadonga 1
CD Laredo 1
Ourense CF 5
Zamora 4
Amorebieta 1
Varea 2
Moralo 0
San Sebastian Reyes 1
Alfaro 0
CD Laguna 1
Toledo 2
Jaraiz 2
CD Coria 3
Deportiva Minera 3
Melilla 0
Molinense 2
Xerez CD 0
Ceuta 6 de Junio 2
Orihuela 5
Huetor Tajar 2
Bollullos 1
1/8-finals
CE Atletic Lleida 6
Formentera 1
Terrassa 0
SD Ejea 1
Bergantinos 2
Estradense 1
Ourense CF 2
Zamora 1
Varea 1
San Sebastian Reyes 2
Toledo 1
CD Coria 0
Deportiva Minera 3
Molinense 0
Orihuela 3
Huetor Tajar 0
Quarter-finals
CE Atletic Lleida 2
SD Ejea 1
Bergantinos 0
Ourense CF 2
San Sebastian Reyes 0
Toledo 1
Deportiva Minera 0
Orihuela 1
Semi-finals
CE Atletic Lleida 3
Ourense CF 4
Toledo 2
Orihuela 4
Final
Ourense CF 3
Orihuela 0
