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Orihuela vs Olimpic Xativa

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Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Orihuela play Olimpic Xativa in the Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2021/2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Orihuela averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Olimpic Xativa averaged 0.84 goals scored and 1.19 conceded. In past meetings, Orihuela won 2, Olimpic Xativa won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 1, 2022 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Orihuela and 1.25 for Olimpic Xativa. This points to a Orihuela double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Orihuela
25%
Draws
31%
Olimpic Xativa
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Orihuela

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Orihuela picked up more points recently compared to Olimpic Xativa.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Orihuela Clean Sheet 19%
Olimpic Xativa Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orihuela Olimpic Xativa
Matches Played 36 31
Wins 14 8
Draws 9 9
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.5 0.84
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.19

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Olimpic Xativa vs Orihuela
1:0
Dec 22, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Orihuela vs Olimpic Xativa
3:2
Jan 20, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Orihuela vs Olimpic Xativa
1:0
Sep 2, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Olimpic Xativa vs Orihuela
3:2
Jan 28, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Orihuela vs Olimpic Xativa
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orihuela 43 / 100
Olimpic Xativa 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orihuela Olimpic Xativa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Orihuela or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Orihuela attacking → ← attacking Olimpic Xativa

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orihuela scored in 69% of their last 36 games.

Olimpic Xativa let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Orihuela went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Olimpic Xativa lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

51 Points in last 5 33
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Valencia B362111465:2774
2Atletico Saguntino361713646:3064
3Atzeneta36189946:2563
4Acero361881036:2762
5Torrent361791042:3260
6Orihuela3616101050:3558
7Roda3615111034:2356
8Ilicitano361315856:2954
9Villarreal C361491352:3951
10Torrellano3613121137:3751
11Hercules B361471535:3649
12Silla CF3612111344:4647
13Castellon B3611131232:3446
14Jove361291523:3145
15Olimpic Xativa3610101629:4440
16Callosa369101727:3937
17Recambios Colon367101922:4631
18UD Beniganim36672332:7825
19Villajoyosa36542714:6419