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Orijent vs Karlovac Prediction & H2H Stats

Croatia Croatia

Prva NL 2025/2026 Stadion Krimeja, Rijeka
Orijent Logo

Orijent

1 - 0
FT
Karlovac Logo

Karlovac

Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Galesic A.
46'
Sub
Koscevic Z. In: Raguz P.
Out: Koscevic Z.
46'
Sub
Zilinski F. In: Gaspar M.
Out: Zilinski F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Orijent in this Prva NL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Orijent.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Orijent
15%
Draws
59%
Karlovac
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Karlovac

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Karlovac have won more games recently than Orijent.
  • Karlovac are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Orijent Clean Sheet 16%
Karlovac Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orijent Karlovac
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 9 12
Draws 8 7
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.29 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Karlovac vs Orijent
1:1
May 16, 2026 Prva NL
Orijent vs Karlovac
1:0
Mar 13, 2026 Prva NL
Karlovac vs Orijent
0:3
Oct 18, 2025 Prva NL
Orijent vs Karlovac
1:1
Jan 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Orijent vs Karlovac
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orijent Compare

Top Goalscorer Gajzler N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Karlovac Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orijent 19 / 100
Karlovac 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orijent Karlovac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karlovac Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karlovac let in goals in 88% of their last 34 matches.

Orijent's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Orijent remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Orijent VS Karlovac
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Orijent

(Home)
02 Oct
Koper
1 : 0
Orijent
26 Sept
Hrvace
3 : 0
Orijent
19 Sept
Orijent
1 : 0
Opatija
12 Sept
Jadran Luka Ploce
1 : 0
Orijent
09 Sept
Orijent
2 : 3
Mladost Zdralovi
Page 1 of 7

Karlovac

(Away)
27 Sept
Segesta
1 : 1
Karlovac
20 Sept
Karlovac
0 : 1
Dubrava Zagreb
15 Sept
Bjelovar
0 : 2
Karlovac
12 Sept
Mladost Zdralovi
1 : 0
Karlovac
06 Sept
Karlovac
3 : 1
Hrvace
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rudes 33 19 8 6 49:29 65
2 Cibalia 33 17 7 9 51:33 58
3 Sesvete 33 16 9 8 42:28 57
4 Dugopolje 33 16 6 11 40:38 54
5 Dubrava Zagreb 33 13 8 12 39:46 47
6 Bijelo Brdo 33 11 9 13 30:30 42
7 Karlovac 33 13 3 17 40:45 42
8 Opatija 33 10 10 13 31:38 40
9 Orijent 33 9 11 13 40:41 38
10 Hrvace 33 10 6 17 36:48 36
11 Croatia Zmijavci 33 9 8 16 32:46 35
12 Jarun 33 8 9 16 34:42 33
Relegation - Druga NL (Main)
Promotion - HNL (Main)