Sport Picks

Croatia

3. HNL East

Zrinski Osjecko

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Oriolik play Zrinski Osjecko in the 3. HNL East. It looks like a close match. Recently, Oriolik averaged 1.19 goals scored and 2.44 conceded. Zrinski Osjecko averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.62 conceded. In past meetings, Oriolik won 2, Zrinski Osjecko won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 21, 2022 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Oriolik and 2.94 for Zrinski Osjecko. This points to a Oriolik double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Oriolik

19%

Draws

39%

Zrinski Osjecko

Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Oriolik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Oriolik picked up more points recently compared to Zrinski Osjecko.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 2.94 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 76%

Over 2.5 Goals 63%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%

Oriolik Clean Sheet 10%

Zrinski Osjecko Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Oriolik	Zrinski Osjecko
Matches Played	32	53
Wins	11	18
Draws	4	10
Losses	17	25
Goals Scored	1.19	1.25
Goals Conceded	2.44	1.62
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	5.00	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2022 3. HNL East

Oriolik vs Zrinski Osjecko

Possession: 42% - 57% Cards: 3 - 2

2:2

Nov 20, 2021 3. HNL East

Zrinski Osjecko vs Oriolik

Possession: 45% - 50% Cards: 0 - 1

3:2

Mar 20, 2021 3. HNL East

Oriolik vs Zrinski Osjecko

Possession: 56% - 50% Cards: 3 - 2

2:0

Aug 26, 2020 3. HNL East

Zrinski Osjecko vs Oriolik

Possession: 43% - 58% Cards: 2 - 2

0:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oriolik 40 / 100

Zrinski Osjecko 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Oriolik Zrinski Osjecko

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Oriolik or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23.5%

2.94

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.3%

1.75

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Oriolik attacking → ← attacking Zrinski Osjecko

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oriolik scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Zrinski Osjecko let in goals in 77% of their last 53 matches.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Oriolik went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Zrinski Osjecko lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 64

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88

5.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vukovar 1991	34	25	7	2	80:20	82
2	Zrinski Osjecko	34	24	6	4	69:33	78
3	Belisce	34	23	6	5	95:28	75
4	Marsonia	34	21	7	6	61:25	70
5	Slavonija Pozega	34	18	7	9	60:38	61
6	Croatia Dakovo	34	16	11	7	60:38	59
7	Bedem Ivankovo	34	13	8	13	53:52	47
8	Slavija Pleternica	34	13	6	15	57:68	45
9	Kutjevo	34	12	7	15	59:62	43
10	Granicar Zupanja	34	11	7	16	43:52	40
11	Sloga Nova Gradiska	34	12	3	19	46:71	39
12	Oriolik	34	11	5	18	43:71	38
13	Cepin	34	8	10	16	46:64	34
14	Darda	34	9	5	20	44:71	32
15	Vuteks Sloga	34	9	4	21	52:81	31
16	NASK Nasice	34	7	9	18	38:63	30
17	Omladinac Gornja Vrba	34	8	6	20	35:63	30
18	Slavonac Bukovlje	34	7	4	23	36:77	25