Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Orkla vs Melhus

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Myrvold S. O.
71' Event
Hosen A. W.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 2 game between Orkla and Melhus finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Melhus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Orkla
20%
Draws
44%
Melhus
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Melhus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Melhus come out ahead of Orkla on wins alone.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on Melhus taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Orkla Clean Sheet 10%
Melhus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orkla Melhus
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 15
Draws 5 7
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 1.79 2.33
Goals Conceded 2.97 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Division 3 - Group 2
Melhus vs Orkla
8:3
May 22, 2026 Division 3 - Group 2
Orkla vs Melhus
0:2
Oct 27, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4
Orkla vs Melhus
2:8
May 4, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4
Melhus vs Orkla
0:3
Oct 8, 2022 Division 3 - Group 5
Melhus vs Orkla
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orkla Compare

Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Melhus Compare

Top Goalscorer Myrvold S. O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hosen A. W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orkla 22 / 100
Melhus 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orkla Melhus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Melhus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Melhus let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Orkla's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Orkla stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Orkla VS Melhus
2.38 Goals Scored 2
3.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Orkla

(Home)
12 Sept
Herd
2 : 2
Orkla
05 Sept
Orkla
3 : 1
Ntnui
31 Aug
Ranheim 2
3 : 3
Orkla
15 Aug
Orkla
2 : 5
Spjelkavik
08 Aug
Melhus
8 : 3
Orkla
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Melhus

(Away)
12 Sept
Melhus
1 : 2
Volda
05 Sept
Herd
1 : 4
Melhus
30 Aug
Melhus
0 : 1
Strindheim
22 Aug
Melhus
0 : 3
Stjordals Blink
15 Aug
Nardo
1 : 3
Melhus
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