Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Orkla vs Verdal

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Pedersen Foll H.
26' Event
Groset E.
(Penalty)
34' Event
Pedersen Foll H.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 4 2024 game between Orkla and Verdal finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Orkla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Orkla
15%
Draws
85%
Verdal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Verdal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Orkla's 1.55 goals per match outpaces what Verdal have produced (1.43).
  • Orkla are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Orkla here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Orkla Clean Sheet 20%
Verdal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orkla Verdal
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 6 6
Draws 4 6
Losses 21 16
Goals Scored 1.55 1.43
Goals Conceded 2.97 3.07
Expected Goals (xG) 3.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4
Orkla vs Verdal
3:0
Jun 22, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4
Verdal vs Orkla
2:2
Oct 7, 2023 Division 3 - Group 5
Verdal vs Orkla
1:2
Jun 24, 2023 Division 3 - Group 5
Orkla vs Verdal
6:2
Oct 12, 2019 Division 3 - Group 5
Orkla vs Verdal
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orkla Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedersen Foll H.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.35
Avg xA / game 1.53

Verdal Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orkla 85 / 100
Verdal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orkla Verdal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Orkla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Verdal lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Orkla scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Verdal conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Orkla VS Verdal
1.63 Goals Scored 0.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 4.5
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Orkla

(Home)
15 Aug
Orkla
2 : 5
Spjelkavik
08 Aug
Melhus
8 : 3
Orkla
03 Aug
Orkla
1 : 2
Rosenborg 2
25 Jul
Aalesund 2
4 : 2
Orkla
27 Jun
Orkla
3 : 5
Molde 2
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Verdal

(Away)
24 Jan
Levanger
10 : 1
Verdal
13 Apr
Verdal
0 : 8
Levanger
27 Oct
Verdal
1 : 6
Nardo
20 Oct
Melhus
4 : 0
Verdal
05 Oct
Verdal
1 : 3
Tiller
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