Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Orlando City B vs Carolina Core

USA USA

MLS Next Pro Osceola County Stadium
Sun, Apr 19, 2026
3 - 2
11:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Caraballo G.
(Penalty)
28'
Sub
Orbaugh C. In: Yepes Valle S.
Out: Orbaugh C.
32' Event
Pedro Leao
Assist: Baczewski D.

AI Match Summary

Orlando City B in this MLS Next Pro matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Orlando City B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Orlando City B
44%
Draws
20%
Carolina Core
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Orlando City B have won more games recently than Carolina Core.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Orlando City B have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Orlando City B Clean Sheet 16%
Carolina Core Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orlando City B Carolina Core
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 9
Draws 0 0
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 2.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Orlando City B vs Carolina Core
3:2
Apr 19, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Orlando City B vs Carolina Core
3:2
Mar 14, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Carolina Core vs Orlando City B
2:3
Sep 27, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Carolina Core vs Orlando City B
3:4
Jul 13, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Orlando City B vs Carolina Core
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orlando City B Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro Leao
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Carolina Core Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Evers N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orlando City B 36 / 100
Carolina Core 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orlando City B Carolina Core

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Orlando City B scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Carolina Core's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Orlando City B remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Orlando City B VS Carolina Core
2.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Columbus Crew 217120531:2734
2New York Red Bulls II17100739:2432
3New England Revolution II16110521:1831
4New York City II1580724:2325
5Philadelphia Union II1780921:2124
6CT United FC1680828:2922
7Toronto FC II17701025:3222
8FC Cincinnati 216501115:2914
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Crown Legacy16120441:2234
2Chattanooga17110633:2831
3Orlando City B17100737:3130
4Atlanta United 21680834:2527
5Chicago Fire II1680824:2424
6Huntsville City1670929:3521
7Carolina Core18501321:3117
8Inter Miami II15101413:375
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portland Timbers 217100723:2232
2Ventura County18100832:2729
3San Jose Earthquakes II1590637:1828
4Los Angeles FC 21690728:2828
5Real Monarchs1790827:3023
6Tacoma Defiance17701018:2421
7Vancouver Whitecaps 218601224:3817
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austin FC II16130334:1340
2Houston Dynamo 215120335:1334
3St. Louis City 217100728:2829
4Minnesota United 21890925:2926
5North Texas1570826:2022
6Sporting Kansas City II18401423:5013
7Colorado Rapids 217201515:359
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Columbus Crew 217120531:2734
2Crown Legacy16120441:2234
3New York Red Bulls II17100739:2432
4Chattanooga17110633:2831
5New England Revolution II16110521:1831
6Orlando City B17100737:3130
7Atlanta United 21680834:2527
8New York City II1580724:2325
9Philadelphia Union II1780921:2124
10Chicago Fire II1680824:2424
11CT United FC1680828:2922
12Toronto FC II17701025:3222
13Huntsville City1670929:3521
14Carolina Core18501321:3117
15FC Cincinnati 216501115:2914
16Inter Miami II15101413:375
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Austin FC II16130334:1340
2Houston Dynamo 215120335:1334
3Portland Timbers 217100723:2232
4Ventura County18100832:2729
5St. Louis City 217100728:2829
6San Jose Earthquakes II1590637:1828
7Los Angeles FC 21690728:2828
8Minnesota United 21890925:2926
9Real Monarchs1790827:3023
10North Texas1570826:2022
11Tacoma Defiance17701018:2421
12Vancouver Whitecaps 218601224:3817
13Sporting Kansas City II18401423:5013
14Colorado Rapids 217201515:359