Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Orlando City vs Chicago Fire

USA USA

MLS Inter&Co Stadium, Orlando, FL
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Dithejane P.
Assist: Poreba D.
43'
Sub
Cartagena W. In: Taifi Z.
Out: Cartagena W.
43'
Sub
Spicer T. In: Pasalic M.
Out: Spicer T.

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between Orlando City and Chicago Fire finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chicago Fire.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Orlando City
20%
Draws
36%
Chicago Fire
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Orlando City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chicago Fire come out ahead of Orlando City on wins alone.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on Orlando City taking it.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Orlando City Clean Sheet 14%
Chicago Fire Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orlando City Chicago Fire
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 15
Draws 4 6
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.97 1.77
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 MLS
Orlando City vs Chicago Fire
1:2
Oct 23, 2025 MLS
Chicago Fire vs Orlando City
3:1
May 31, 2025 MLS
Orlando City vs Chicago Fire
1:3
May 4, 2025 MLS
Chicago Fire vs Orlando City
0:0
Jun 22, 2024 MLS
Orlando City vs Chicago Fire
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orlando City Compare

Top Goalscorer Brekalo D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Chicago Fire Compare

Top Goalscorer Dithejane P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orlando City 48 / 100
Chicago Fire 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orlando City Chicago Fire

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Orlando City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 8:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orlando City scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Chicago Fire let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Orlando City went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Orlando City VS Chicago Fire
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Orlando City

(Home)
26 Sept
Philadelphia Union
4 : 2
Orlando City
19 Sept
New England Revolution
4 : 2
Orlando City
16 Sept
Columbus Crew
2 : 1
Orlando City
12 Sept
Orlando City
3 : 0
Toronto FC
09 Sept
Atlanta United
2 : 3
Orlando City
Page 1 of 6

Chicago Fire

(Away)
26 Sept
Charlotte FC
0 : 1
Chicago Fire
20 Sept
Nashville SC
3 : 0
Chicago Fire
13 Sept
Chicago Fire
1 : 2
New England Revolution
10 Sept
Chicago Fire
1 : 1
Inter Miami
05 Sept
Toronto FC
4 : 4
Chicago Fire
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 26 15 5 6 59:26 50
2 FC Dallas 27 13 8 6 50:42 47
3 San Jose Earthquakes 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
4 Houston Dynamo 27 13 5 9 34:32 44
5 St. Louis City 26 12 8 6 45:36 44
6 Los Angeles FC 28 11 8 9 43:30 41
7 Colorado Rapids 27 11 3 13 38:38 36
8 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
9 Seattle Sounders 26 9 8 9 33:34 35
10 Portland Timbers 27 9 5 13 48:51 32
11 Real Salt Lake 27 9 5 13 40:44 32
12 San Diego FC 27 8 8 11 47:47 32
13 Austin FC 27 7 10 10 35:47 31
14 Minnesota United 27 7 8 12 40:49 29
15 Sporting Kansas City 26 6 3 17 31:63 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 18 6 3 55:21 60
2 New England Revolution 27 14 4 9 45:36 46
3 Inter Miami 26 12 10 4 63:48 46
4 Charlotte FC 27 12 7 8 47:38 43
5 Chicago Fire 26 12 6 8 46:38 42
6 Philadelphia Union 27 11 6 10 54:44 39
7 Orlando City 27 10 4 13 48:64 34
8 New York Red Bulls 26 9 6 11 34:48 33
9 New York City 27 8 9 10 41:36 33
10 FC Cincinnati 26 8 9 9 55:64 33
11 DC United 26 6 12 8 34:42 30
12 Toronto FC 27 6 11 10 39:51 29
13 Atlanta United 27 7 6 14 32:45 27
14 Columbus Crew 26 7 5 14 37:42 26
15 CF Montreal 27 6 6 15 34:54 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)