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Orlando City vs DC United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Inter&Co Stadium, Orlando, FL
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
11:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Orlando City host DC United in the MLS. Little to choose between these two on current form. DC United have shipped 1.77 goals a game lately, while Orlando City have conceded 1.89 and scored 2.15. Past meetings favor Orlando City slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 3:2. xG projections (1.69 - 1.44) back Orlando City to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Orlando City
20%
Draws
36%
DC United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Orlando City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • DC United haven't matched Orlando City's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Orlando City Clean Sheet 16%
DC United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orlando City DC United
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 14 5
Draws 3 12
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 2.15 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 MLS
DC United vs Orlando City
3:2
Sep 13, 2025 MLS
DC United vs Orlando City
1:1
Mar 22, 2025 MLS
Orlando City vs DC United
4:1
Jul 6, 2024 MLS
Orlando City vs DC United
5:0
Apr 13, 2024 MLS
DC United vs Orlando City
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orlando City 36 / 100
DC United 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orlando City DC United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DC United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orlando City found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (27 games).

DC United has conceded goals in 81% of their last 26 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Orlando City has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Orlando City VS DC United
2.13 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Orlando City

(Home)
26 Sept
Philadelphia Union
4 : 2
Orlando City
19 Sept
New England Revolution
4 : 2
Orlando City
16 Sept
Columbus Crew
2 : 1
Orlando City
12 Sept
Orlando City
3 : 0
Toronto FC
09 Sept
Atlanta United
2 : 3
Orlando City
Page 1 of 6

DC United

(Away)
30 Sept
DC United
0 : 1
Paderborn
27 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
3 : 3
DC United
19 Sept
DC United
1 : 2
Charlotte FC
12 Sept
DC United
0 : 0
Atlanta United
09 Sept
DC United
2 : 1
Columbus Crew
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 27 15 5 7 60:29 50
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 27 13 8 6 50:42 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Houston Dynamo 27 13 5 9 34:32 44
6 Los Angeles FC 28 11 8 9 43:30 41
7 Seattle Sounders 27 10 8 9 35:35 38
8 Colorado Rapids 27 11 3 13 38:38 36
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 27 9 5 13 48:51 32
11 Real Salt Lake 27 9 5 13 40:44 32
12 San Diego FC 27 8 8 11 47:47 32
13 Austin FC 27 7 10 10 35:47 31
14 Minnesota United 27 7 8 12 40:49 29
15 Sporting Kansas City 27 6 3 18 32:65 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 18 6 3 55:21 60
2 New England Revolution 27 14 4 9 45:36 46
3 Inter Miami 27 12 10 5 64:50 46
4 Chicago Fire 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Charlotte FC 27 12 7 8 47:38 43
6 Philadelphia Union 27 11 6 10 54:44 39
7 Orlando City 27 10 4 13 48:64 34
8 New York Red Bulls 27 9 6 12 34:51 33
9 New York City 27 8 9 10 41:36 33
10 FC Cincinnati 26 8 9 9 55:64 33
11 DC United 26 6 12 8 34:42 30
12 Columbus Crew 27 8 5 14 39:43 29
13 Toronto FC 27 6 11 10 39:51 29
14 Atlanta United 27 7 6 14 32:45 27
15 CF Montreal 27 6 6 15 34:54 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)