Sport Picks

South Africa

Nedbank Cup Orlando Stadium, Johannesburg

Orlando Pirates

Sat, Feb 21, 2026

0 - 1

04:00 PM

Casric Stars

Our Tip

Match Events

23'

Marebane K.

60'

Zwane M.

63'

Sub

Maswanganyi P. In: Appollis O.

Out: Maswanganyi P.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Casric Stars in this Nedbank Cup tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Orlando Pirates

39%

Draws

30%

Casric Stars

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Orlando Pirates lately — more wins on the board than Casric Stars.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
Orlando Pirates have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Casric Stars, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%

Orlando Pirates Clean Sheet 20%

Casric Stars Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Orlando Pirates	Casric Stars
Matches Played	32	32
Wins	23	16
Draws	6	9
Losses	3	7
Goals Scored	1.75	1.88
Goals Conceded	0.5	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.50	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Nedbank Cup

Orlando Pirates vs Casric Stars

0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orlando Pirates 32 / 100

Casric Stars 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Orlando Pirates Casric Stars

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAS Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orlando Pirates found the back of the net in 91% of recent matches (32 games).

Recent resilience: Orlando Pirates stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Casric Stars's defensive record shows goals conceded in 56% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Orlando Pirates VS Casric Stars

1.75 Goals Scored 1.88

0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13

88% Over 1.5 100%

38% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Orlando Pirates

(Home)

21 Jul

Orlando Pirates

2 : 3

Al Ittihad

18 Jul

Cadiz

1 : 2

Orlando Pirates

15 Jul

Orlando Pirates

1 : 1

Cordoba

23 May

Orbit College

0 : 2

Orlando Pirates

16 May

Orlando Pirates

0 : 0

Durban City

Page 1 of 7

Casric Stars

(Away)

17 May

Casric Stars

3 : 1

Gomora United

10 May

Upington City

0 : 2

Casric Stars

01 May

Casric Stars

2 : 0

Baroka

25 Apr

Leicesterford City

2 : 1

Casric Stars

21 Apr

Casric Stars

3 : 0

Highbury

Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/32-finals

TS Galaxy-

TBD-

Marumo Gallants-

Mamelodi Sundowns-

TBD-

The Bees0

Gomora United1

Cardinals-

TBD-

Jacksa Spears-

Vasco Da Gama-

TBD-

Luthuli Brigades-

Hungry Lions2

Venda1

Leicesterford City1

Pretoria U.2

Kruger United0

Highbury3

TBD-

Sekhukhune-

SSU M-17-

TBD-

Milford2

Baroka0

Mkhambathi-

TBD-

Lerumo Lions1

Midlands Wanderers0

Golden Arrows-

TBD-

Orbit College-

Stellenbosch FC-

TBD-

Kaizer Chiefs-

Cape Town City0

Upington City1

TBD-

Magesi-

Durban City-

TBD-

Chippa Utd.-

Polokwane City-

TBD-

AmaZulu-

Siwelele-

TBD-

Richards Bay-

Army Rocket-

TBD-

Black Leopards0

Casric Stars1

Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila-

TBD-

Orlando Pirates-

1/16-finals

TS Galaxy1

Marumo Gallants0

Mamelodi Sundowns2

Gomora United1

Cardinals2

Jacksa Spears4

Vasco Da Gama4

Luthuli Brigades1

Hungry Lions1

Pretoria U.2

Highbury0

Sekhukhune1

SSU M-171

Milford2

Mkhambathi2

Lerumo Lions1

Golden Arrows3

Orbit College0

Stellenbosch FC2

Kaizer Chiefs1

Upington City1

Magesi0

Durban City1

Chippa Utd.0

Polokwane City1

AmaZulu2

Siwelele3

Richards Bay4

Army Rocket0

Casric Stars3

Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila1

Orlando Pirates4

1/8-finals

TS Galaxy2

Mamelodi Sundowns0

Jacksa Spears1

Vasco Da Gama0

Pretoria U.0

Sekhukhune1

Milford3

Mkhambathi0

Golden Arrows1

Stellenbosch FC0

Upington City0

Durban City1

AmaZulu1

Richards Bay0

Casric Stars1

Orlando Pirates0

Quarter-finals

TS Galaxy2

Jacksa Spears0

Sekhukhune2

Milford3

Golden Arrows1

Durban City2

AmaZulu1

Casric Stars2

Semi-finals

TS Galaxy2

Milford1

Durban City1

Casric Stars0

Final

TS Galaxy1

Durban City2