Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Orleans vs Concarneau

France France

National 2025/2026 Stade de la Source, Orléans
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Da Silva F.
23'
Gbelle G.
39' Event
Da Silva F.

AI Match Summary

The National 2025/2026 game between Orleans and Concarneau finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Orleans
20%
Draws
38%
Concarneau
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Orleans

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Orleans come out ahead of Concarneau on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Orleans's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular National 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Orleans Clean Sheet 20%
Concarneau Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orleans Concarneau
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 15 8
Draws 7 12
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 Ligue 3
Orleans vs Concarneau
1:1
Nov 7, 2025 Ligue 3
Concarneau vs Orleans
3:0
Feb 7, 2025 Ligue 3
Concarneau vs Orleans
1:2
Sep 6, 2024 Ligue 3
Orleans vs Concarneau
2:3
May 26, 2023 Ligue 3
Orleans vs Concarneau
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orleans Compare

Top Goalscorer El Khoumisti F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Concarneau Compare

Top Goalscorer Da Silva F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orleans 42 / 100
Concarneau 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orleans Concarneau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Orleans scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Concarneau's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Orleans went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Orleans VS Concarneau
1 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Orleans

(Home)
25 Jul
Auxerre
1 : 2
Orleans
21 Jul
Red Star
3 : 2
Orleans
18 Jul
Orleans
1 : 0
Paris 13 Atletico
11 Jul
Clermont
1 : 0
Orleans
15 May
Dijon
3 : 2
Orleans
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Concarneau

(Away)
25 Jul
Laval
1 : 2
Concarneau
22 Jul
Guingamp
0 : 1
Concarneau
18 Jul
Brest
2 : 2
Concarneau
11 Jul
Concarneau
1 : 2
Lorient
15 May
Concarneau
2 : 2
Villefranche
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dijon321811352:2565
2Sochaux321610651:2658
3Rouen321413543:2955
4Fleury-Merogis32159847:3054
5Versailles32158946:3453
6Orleans32149942:4251
7Le Puy-en-Velay321211945:3847
8Caen32816839:3440
9Concarneau328141032:3738
10Valenciennes321081435:4437
11Aubagne FC329101338:4637
12Villefranche321071534:4537
13Quevilly32891534:4533
14Paris 13 Atletico327111426:4132
15Bourg Peronnas32871725:4431
16Chateauroux326131335:4930
17Stade Briochin325121535:5027
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)