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Orleans vs La Roche Vendee - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 3 Stade de la Source, Orléans
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Sub
Obiang J. In: Guiheneuf M.
Out: Obiang J.
34'
Allemand T.
49' Event
Samb M.
Assist: Ndiaye M.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 3 game between Orleans and La Roche Vendee finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward La Roche Vendee.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Orleans
30%
Draws
58%
La Roche Vendee
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: La Roche Vendee

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • La Roche Vendee carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on La Roche Vendee taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors La Roche Vendee here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Orleans Clean Sheet 16%
La Roche Vendee Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Orleans La Roche Vendee
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 18
Draws 10 9
Losses 10 2
Goals Scored 1.2 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Ligue 3
Orleans vs La Roche Vendee
0:1
Nov 29, 2024 Coupe de France
Orleans vs La Roche Vendee
1:2
Apr 4, 1992 Ligue 2
La Roche Vendee vs Orleans
1:0
Nov 1, 1991 Ligue 2
Orleans vs La Roche Vendee
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Orleans Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

La Roche Vendee Compare

Top Goalscorer Samb M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Orleans 10 / 100
La Roche Vendee 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Orleans La Roche Vendee

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Roche Vendee Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Orleans's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

La Roche Vendee has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Orleans has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Orleans VS La Roche Vendee
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Orleans

(Home)
17 Oct
Quevilly
3 : 2
Orleans
01 Oct
Bastia
1 : 1
Orleans
26 Sept
Orleans
0 : 0
Cannes
19 Sept
Amiens SC
2 : 0
Orleans
12 Sept
Orleans
0 : 4
Versailles
Page 1 of 6

La Roche Vendee

(Away)
15 Oct
Caen
2 : 1
La Roche Vendee
03 Oct
La Roche Vendee
3 : 1
Aubagne FC
26 Sept
Thionville
1 : 2
La Roche Vendee
19 Sept
La Roche Vendee
3 : 2
Valenciennes
12 Sept
Villefranche
0 : 0
La Roche Vendee
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 10 6 3 1 16:10 21
2 Rouen 10 6 2 2 18:8 20
3 Versailles 10 6 1 3 15:13 19
4 Caen 10 6 0 4 19:13 18
5 Concarneau 10 4 5 1 13:9 17
6 Le Puy-en-Velay 10 5 1 4 12:9 16
7 Amiens SC 10 4 4 2 13:4 16
8 Cannes 10 3 6 1 12:6 15
9 Fleury 91 10 4 3 3 16:12 15
10 Paris 13 Atletico 10 4 3 3 10:10 15
11 Quevilly 10 3 4 3 11:14 13
12 Thionville 10 3 3 4 15:16 12
13 Bastia 10 3 3 4 8:12 12
14 Valenciennes 10 2 3 5 10:15 9
15 Orleans 10 2 3 5 9:14 9
16 Aubagne FC 10 2 1 7 6:13 7
17 Villefranche 10 2 1 7 9:23 7
18 Bourg Peronnas 10 1 2 7 5:16 5
Promotion - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Relegation)